Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 02/08, 15:00

Prediction: Gartcairn FC (W) vs Queens Park (W)

Team pages: Queens Park (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Gartcairn FC (W)1.61

Queens Park (W)1.77

1X2

35% 23% 42%

Gartcairn FC (W) Draw Queens Park (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gartcairn FC (W) 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Queens Park (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Gartcairn FC (W) 0–6 Queens Park (W) (6 last)

Queens Park (W)2-1Gartcairn FC (W)
Gartcairn FC (W)1-2Queens Park (W)
Gartcairn FC (W)2-4Queens Park (W)
Gartcairn FC (W)1-3Queens Park (W)
Queens Park (W)2-0Gartcairn FC (W)
Gartcairn FC (W)2-3Queens Park (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gartcairn FC (W) 1434 · Queens Park (W) 1542

	Gartcairn FC (W)	Draw	Queens Park (W)
Our model	34%	25%	41%
Market	36%	21%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queens Park (W) (rating 1434 vs 1542).
H2H favours Queens Park (W): 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gartcairn FC (W)	Queens Park (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.7	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/33/67%	17/33/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.7	0.4 / 1.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0	2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 1 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:47 +2’	2.50	4.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gartcairn FC (W) 0–0–6 Queens Park (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Queens Park (W)	2-1	Gartcairn FC (W)
15/03/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Gartcairn FC (W)	1-2	Queens Park (W)
23/11/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Gartcairn FC (W)	2-4	Queens Park (W)
05/10/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women	Gartcairn FC (W)	1-3 HT 1-0	Queens Park (W)
14/09/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Queens Park (W)	2-0	Gartcairn FC (W)
23/04/23 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Gartcairn FC (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Queens Park (W)

Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gartcairn FC (W)	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
2	Montrose LFC (W)	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
3	Kilmarnock (W)	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
4	Livingston (W)	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
5	Hamilton (W)	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
6	Renfrew Women	1	0	1	0	6	4	2
7	Dundee Utd (W)	1	0	1	0	4	6	1
8	Queens Park (W)	1	0	1	0	1	1	0
8	Spartans (W)	1	0	1	0	1	1	0
10	St Johnstone (W)	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
11	Aberdeen (W)	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	Falkirk (W)	1	0	0	1	2	4	0
13	Motherwell (W)	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
14	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	1	0	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gartcairn FC (W)	Queens Park (W)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	1-1 D	1-0 W
Spartans (W)	2-2 D	1-1 D
Kilmarnock (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Dundee Utd (W)	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Queens Park (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gartcairn FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Falkirk (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	–	4-2	–	–	W
17/05	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
03/05	Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
29/04	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
24/04	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
05/04	Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
01/04	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
22/03	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/03	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-3	0-4	4	1	L

Queens Park (W)

WLLWWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Spartans (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
29/05	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Play-Offs Women	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
24/05	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/05	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/05	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/04	Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
24/04	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
05/04	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queens Park (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Gartcairn FC (W) 35%, draw 23%, Queens Park (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Gartcairn FC (W) 1.61 · Queens Park (W) 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.