Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 26/07, 14:00
Prediction: Queens Park (W) vs Spartans (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Queens Park (W)0.69
Spartans (W)1.73
1X2
Queens Park (W)
Draw
Spartans (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queens Park (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Spartans (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queens Park (W)
0–1–5
Spartans (W)
(6 last)
- Spartans (W)2-0Queens Park (W)
- Queens Park (W)0-4Spartans (W)
- Queens Park (W)1-1Spartans (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queens Park (W) 1500 · Spartans (W) 1630
| Queens Park (W) | Draw | Spartans (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 25% | 61% |
| Market | 16% | 19% | 65% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (W) (rating 1500 vs 1630).
- H2H favours Spartans (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queens Park (W) | Spartans (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 1 | 1.7 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 100/0/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queens Park (W) 0–1–5 Spartans (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Spartans (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Queens Park (W) |
| 18/03/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Queens Park (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Spartans (W) |
| 21/12/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Queens Park (W) | 1-1 | Spartans (W) |
| 21/09/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Spartans (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Queens Park (W) |
| 11/05/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Queens Park (W) |
| 16/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Queens Park (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Spartans (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falkirk (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Livingston (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queens Park (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renfrew Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queens Park (W) | Spartans (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Dundee Utd (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gartcairn FC (W) | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartans (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queens Park (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Play-Offs Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Spartans (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/03 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queens Park (W) vs Spartans (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans (W) win (63%). Probabilities: Queens Park (W) 15%, draw 22%, Spartans (W) 63%.
How many goals are expected in Queens Park (W) vs Spartans (W)?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Queens Park (W) 0.69 · Spartans (W) 1.73), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Queens Park (W) vs Spartans (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.