Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 26/07, 17:00
Prediction: St Johnstone (W) vs Livingston (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.36Total
St Johnstone (W)1.66
Livingston (W)2.7
1X2
St Johnstone (W)
Draw
Livingston (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
St Johnstone (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Livingston (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Johnstone (W)
1–1–4
Livingston (W)
(6 last)
- Livingston (W)5-0St Johnstone (W)
- St Johnstone (W)2-5Livingston (W)
- St Johnstone (W)3-7Livingston (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Johnstone (W) 1454 · Livingston (W) 1578
| St Johnstone (W) | Draw | Livingston (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| Market | 23% | 16% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.36 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Livingston (W) (rating 1454 vs 1578).
- H2H favours Livingston (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Johnstone (W) | Livingston (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 3.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/33/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.7 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Johnstone (W) 1–1–4 Livingston (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Livingston (W) | 5-0 | St Johnstone (W) |
| 05/04/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | St Johnstone (W) | 2-5 | Livingston (W) |
| 01/02/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | St Johnstone (W) | 3-7 | Livingston (W) |
| 14/09/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Livingston (W) | 1-1 | St Johnstone (W) |
| 12/03/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Livingston (W) | 1-4 HT 0-3 | St Johnstone (W) |
| 05/02/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | St Johnstone (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Livingston (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aberdeen (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dundee Utd (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Falkirk (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Hamilton (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kilmarnock (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Livingston (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Motherwell (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Queens Park (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renfrew Women | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Spartans (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | St Johnstone (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Johnstone (W) | Livingston (W) |
|---|---|---|
| East Fife (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Stirling Uni FC (W) | 0-3 L | 6-1 W |
| Gartcairn FC (W) | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Livingston (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Johnstone (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Livingston (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 05/04 | Livingston (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 5-4 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 15/03 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/02 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/02 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 01/02 | Livingston (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-7 | – | – | L |
| 25/01 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
Livingston (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 22/03 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/03 | Stirling Uni FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 22/02 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 08/02 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/02 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 7-3 | – | – | W |
| 25/01 | East Fife (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Johnstone (W) vs Livingston (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Livingston (W) win (60%). Probabilities: St Johnstone (W) 23%, draw 18%, Livingston (W) 60%.
How many goals are expected in St Johnstone (W) vs Livingston (W)?
The model expects 4.36 goals (St Johnstone (W) 1.66 · Livingston (W) 2.7), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St Johnstone (W) vs Livingston (W)?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.