Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 23/08, 15:30
Prediction: Bahlinger SC vs Magdeburg
Team pages: Magdeburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.18Total
Bahlinger SC1.09
Magdeburg3.09
1X2
Bahlinger SC
Draw
Magdeburg
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Bahlinger SC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Magdeburg
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bahlinger SC 1484 · Magdeburg 1579
| Bahlinger SC | Draw | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 4% | 7% | 89% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.18 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magdeburg (rating 1484 vs 1579).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bahlinger SC | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 4.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | 3.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bahlinger SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pforzheim Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/08 | Karlsruher SC II Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | FV Ravensburg Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West |
2-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | TSG Balingen Germany Regionalliga South West |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Magdeburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | VfL Osnabruck Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Eintracht Braunschweig Germany Bundesliga II |
0-4 | 1-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | West Ham Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Paderborn Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/07 | BSG Chemie Leipzig Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FSV Havelberg 1911 Club Friendly List |
14-0 | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Blau Weiss Neuenhofe Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Kaiserslautern Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hertha Berlin Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bahlinger SC vs Magdeburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Magdeburg win (83%). Probabilities: Bahlinger SC 7%, draw 10%, Magdeburg 83%.
How many goals are expected in Bahlinger SC vs Magdeburg?
The model expects 4.18 goals (Bahlinger SC 1.09 · Magdeburg 3.09), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Bahlinger SC vs Magdeburg?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.