Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 23/08, 15:30
Prediction: Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt
Team pages: Darmstadt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Carl Zeiss Jena1.06
Darmstadt2.15
1X2
Carl Zeiss Jena
Draw
Darmstadt
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Zeiss Jena
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Darmstadt
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Zeiss Jena 1567 · Darmstadt 1537
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Draw | Darmstadt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 21% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carl Zeiss Jena | Darmstadt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 3.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.3 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Zeiss Jena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | BSG Chemie Leipzig Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/08 | RSV Eintracht Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Babelsberg 03 Germany Regionalliga North East |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Zwickau Germany Regionalliga North East |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | SpVgg Bayreuth Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 12/07 | Union Berlin Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | SV Rothenstein Club Friendly List |
9-0 | 18-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Rot-Weiss Erfurt Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 08/05 | Hallescher FC Germany Regionalliga North East |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Darmstadt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dynamo Dresden Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Holstein Kiel Germany Bundesliga II |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Portsmouth Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 17/07 | FC Astoria Walldorf Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | FC 08 Homburg Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Fehlheim Club Friendly List |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | SG Arheilgen Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 12-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Paderborn Germany Bundesliga II |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Karlsruher SC Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Darmstadt win (62%). Probabilities: Carl Zeiss Jena 17%, draw 21%, Darmstadt 62%.
How many goals are expected in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Carl Zeiss Jena 1.06 · Darmstadt 2.15), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.