Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 23/08, 18:00

Result and prediction: Rot-Weiss Essen vs St Pauli

Final result

Half time: 1-0

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · St Pauli 45%

30% 25% 45%

Rot-Weiss EssenDrawSt Pauli

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Rot-Weiss Essen	Draw	St Pauli
Our model	30%	24%	45%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (goals) 3.35 · actual 2

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.