Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg

Team pages: Fortuna Dusseldorf

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.54Total
Fortuna Dusseldorf1.07
SC Freiburg2.47
1X2
14% 19% 67%
Fortuna Dusseldorf Draw SC Freiburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Fortuna Dusseldorf 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWLWLL
SC Freiburg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWLWLWWW
Head-to-head
Fortuna Dusseldorf 3–1–2 SC Freiburg (6 last)
  • Fortuna Dusseldorf1-3SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg0-2Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • Fortuna Dusseldorf1-2SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg1-1Fortuna Dusseldorf
  • Fortuna Dusseldorf2-0SC Freiburg
  • SC Freiburg1-2Fortuna Dusseldorf
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1514 · SC Freiburg 1539
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawSC Freiburg
Our model14%19%67%
Market14%20%67%
Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Fortuna Dusseldorf: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Fortuna DusseldorfSC Freiburg
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.22.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.70.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.81.2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Dusseldorf 312 SC Freiburg

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/10/25
Germany DFB Pokal
Fortuna Dusseldorf1-3
HT 1-2
SC Freiburg
22/02/20
Germany Bundesliga I
SC Freiburg0-2
HT 0-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
29/09/19
Germany Bundesliga I
Fortuna Dusseldorf1-2
HT 1-1
SC Freiburg
05/05/19
Germany Bundesliga I
SC Freiburg1-1
HT 1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf
15/12/18
Germany Bundesliga I
Fortuna Dusseldorf2-0
HT 0-0
SC Freiburg
14/02/16
Germany Bundesliga II
SC Freiburg1-2
HT 1-1
Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortuna Dusseldorf

WLWWWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 0-2 86 L
07/08 Waldhof Mannheim
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 1-2 48 L
25/07 Borussia Dortmund
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 2-1 31 W
18/07 LASK Linz
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 21 L
15/07 MFK Ruzomberok
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 41 W
09/07 VFL Benrath
Club Friendly List
7-1 12-1 W
08/07 SC St. Tonis 1911/20
Europe Friendlies
2-0 5-0 90 W
03/07 FC Monheim
Europe Friendlies
2-0 6-0 80 W
17/05 Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga II
0-3 0-3 37 L
10/05 Elversberg
Germany Bundesliga II
2-0 3-1 23 W

SC Freiburg

DWLWLWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 Motherwell
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 3-1 85 W
15/08 Crystal Palace
Elite Club Friendlies
1-0 3-0 W
08/08 Strasbourg
Elite Club Friendlies
1-0 2-0 W
31/07 Greuther Furth
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-3 L
24/07 Derby
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 3-1 W
20/05 Aston Villa
UEFA Europa League
0-2 0-3 14 L
16/05 RB Leipzig
Germany Bundesliga I
2-1 4-1 11 W
10/05 Hamburg
Germany Bundesliga I
1-1 2-3 44 L
07/05 Braga
UEFA Europa League
2-0 3-1 45 W
03/05 Wolfsburg
Germany Bundesliga I
0-0 1-1 12 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Freiburg win (67%). Probabilities: Fortuna Dusseldorf 14%, draw 19%, SC Freiburg 67%.

How many goals are expected in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.07 · SC Freiburg 2.47), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.