Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 15:30
Prediction: SV Hemelingen vs Hannover 96
Team pages: Hannover 96
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.88Total
SV Hemelingen1.44
Hannover 963.44
1X2
SV Hemelingen
Draw
Hannover 96
Markets
Under 7.5 goals 67%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
SV Hemelingen
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Hannover 96
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Hemelingen 1632 · Hannover 96 1526
| SV Hemelingen | Draw | Hannover 96 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| Market | 1% | 2% | 96% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.88 goals · Bet365 line 7.5 · -2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Hemelingen (rating 1632 vs 1526).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Hemelingen | Hannover 96 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.7 / 0.6 | 2.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.9 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | 2.7 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 4.2 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Hemelingen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Leher TS Germany Oberliga Bremen |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Brinkumer SV Germany Oberliga Bremen |
4-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | KSV Vatan Sport Bremen Germany Oberliga Bremen |
1-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Union 60 Bremen Germany Oberliga Bremen |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/05 | TS Woltmershausen Germany Oberliga Bremen |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | Eiche Horn Germany Oberliga Bremen |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | ESC Geestemünde Germany Oberliga Bremen |
4-1 | 6-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Habenhauser FV Germany Oberliga Bremen |
1-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/04 | Union 60 Bremen Germany Oberliga Bremen |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | SG Aumund Vegesack Germany Oberliga Bremen |
3-0 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
Hannover 96
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Cottbus Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | PEC Zwolle Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Paderborn Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/07 | Phonix Lubeck Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Ramlingen-Ehlershausen Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | TSV Pattensen Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Nurnberg Germany Bundesliga II |
2-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Bochum Germany Bundesliga II |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | SC Preussen Munster Germany Bundesliga II |
2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Hemelingen vs Hannover 96?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hannover 96 win (86%). Probabilities: SV Hemelingen 6%, draw 7%, Hannover 96 86%.
How many goals are expected in SV Hemelingen vs Hannover 96?
The model expects 4.88 goals (SV Hemelingen 1.44 · Hannover 96 3.44), with a 67% chance of under 7.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Hemelingen vs Hannover 96?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.