Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig
Team pages: Eintracht Trier
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
Eintracht Trier0.89
RB Leipzig2.89
1X2
Eintracht Trier
Draw
RB Leipzig
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Eintracht Trier
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
RB Leipzig
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eintracht Trier 1499 · RB Leipzig 1510
| Eintracht Trier | Draw | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| Market | 2% | 5% | 93% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.77 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -1.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eintracht Trier | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eintracht Trier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | SG Barockstadt Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Alemannia Aachen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | SC Fortuna Köln Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Bonner SC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | TSV Schott Mainz Germany Regionalliga South West |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Bahlinger SC Germany Regionalliga South West |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/04 | FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
RB Leipzig
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bayern Munich Telekom Cup - 45 Mins Play |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Leeds Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Verl Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | FC Ingolstadt Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | VSG Altglienicke Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | Mamelodi Sundowns World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | St Pauli Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig?
According to our model, the most likely result is an RB Leipzig win (86%). Probabilities: Eintracht Trier 5%, draw 9%, RB Leipzig 86%.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig?
The model expects 3.77 goals (Eintracht Trier 0.89 · RB Leipzig 2.89), with a 64% chance of under 5 goals.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Trier vs RB Leipzig?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.