Prediction: Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail
Expected goals: 2.26 (Pocheon Citizen FC 1.24 · Daejeon Korail 1.02). The model gives 40% home, 30% draw, 30% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Pocheon Citizen FC sits at 7-3-0 (W-D-L), while Daejeon Korail arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Pocheon Citizen FC and 5 for Daejeon Korail.
| Pocheon Citizen FC | Draw | Daejeon Korail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Daejeon Korail: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pocheon Citizen FC | Daejeon Korail | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pocheon Citizen FC 1–0–5 Daejeon Korail
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 South Korea K3 League | Daejeon Korail | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 26/10/25 South Korea K3 League | Daejeon Korail | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 15/06/25 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 2-6 HT 1-2 | Daejeon Korail |
| 31/08/24 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Daejeon Korail |
| 03/05/24 South Korea K3 League | Daejeon Korail | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Pocheon Citizen FC |
| 15/07/23 South Korea K3 League | Pocheon Citizen FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Daejeon Korail |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pocheon Citizen FC | Daejeon Korail |
|---|---|---|
| Gangneung City | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Busan Trans Corp | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Ulsan Citizen FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors II | 5-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Chuncheon FC | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pocheon Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Daejeon Korail
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Dangjin Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Gangneung City South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Seosan Pioneer South Korea League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Ulsan Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pocheon Citizen FC win (40%). Probabilities: Pocheon Citizen FC 40%, draw 30%, Daejeon Korail 30%.
How many goals are expected in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail?
The model expects 2.26 goals (Pocheon Citizen FC 1.24 · Daejeon Korail 1.02), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Pocheon Citizen FC vs Daejeon Korail?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.