Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 02/08, 21:00

Prediction: CA Juventus vs Primavera SP

Team pages: CA Juventus · Primavera SP

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

CA Juventus1.51

Primavera SP0.89

1X2

51% 28% 21%

CA Juventus Draw Primavera SP

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

CA Juventus 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDWWW

Primavera SP 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDWLLW

Head-to-head

CA Juventus 1–4–1 Primavera SP (6 last)

CA Juventus0-0Primavera SP
Primavera SP1-1CA Juventus
Primavera SP0-1CA Juventus
CA Juventus1-1Primavera SP
CA Juventus1-1Primavera SP
Primavera SP1-0CA Juventus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Juventus 1575 · Primavera SP 1480

	CA Juventus	Draw	Primavera SP
Our model	51%	28%	21%
Market	51%	28%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Juventus (rating 1575 vs 1480).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Juventus	Primavera SP
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.5	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.1	2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.9	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.25

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +5’	1.75	3.25	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Juventus 1–4–1 Primavera SP

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	CA Juventus	0-0 HT 0-0	Primavera SP
21/02/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	Primavera SP	1-1 HT 0-0	CA Juventus
19/08/23 Brazil Paulista Cup	Primavera SP	0-1 HT 0-1	CA Juventus
16/07/23 Brazil Paulista Cup	CA Juventus	1-1 HT 1-0	Primavera SP
22/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	CA Juventus	1-1 HT 1-0	Primavera SP
09/03/22 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	Primavera SP	1-0 HT 0-0	CA Juventus

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Juventus	2	2	0	4	1	6
2	Primavera SP	2	1	1	2	1	3
3	Paulista FC	2	1	1	2	3	3
4	Osasco Sporting	2	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Juventus	Primavera SP
Paulista FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Osasco Sporting	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CA Juventus

WWWLWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	0-1	3-1	10	7	W
19/07	Osasco Sporting Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/05	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	2-1	0	12	W
07/05	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/04	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
21/04	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
16/04	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
11/04	São José dos Campos FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
28/03	Sertaozinho FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	2-0	3	8	W
22/03	Sertaozinho FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-1	2-1	5	8	W

Primavera SP

LLWLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Osasco Sporting Brazil Paulista Cup	2-0	2-0	1	1	W
18/07	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
27/02	Ceara Copa do Brasil	0-1	1-2	3	5	L
18/02	Araguaina Copa do Brasil	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
16/02	Noroeste Brazil Campeonato Paulista	1-1	3-3	5	8	D
08/02	Sao Paulo Brazil Campeonato Paulista	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
01/02	Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Campeonato Paulista	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/01	Capivariano SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
23/01	Botafogo SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
17/01	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Campeonato Paulista	2-1	3-4	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Juventus vs Primavera SP?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Juventus win (51%). Probabilities: CA Juventus 51%, draw 28%, Primavera SP 21%.

How many goals are expected in CA Juventus vs Primavera SP?

The model expects 2.4 goals (CA Juventus 1.51 · Primavera SP 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Juventus vs Primavera SP?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.