Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 16/08, 00:30

Prediction: Marilia vs Linense

Team pages: Marilia · Linense

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Marilia1.2
Linense1.02
1X2
39% 31% 30%
Marilia Draw Linense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Marilia 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LWDDDLWLLD
Linense 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LLLLDDDWDW
Head-to-head
Marilia 1–2 Linense (3 last)
  • Linense3-1Marilia
  • Linense0-1Marilia
  • Marilia0-1Linense
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marilia 1472 · Linense 1486
MariliaDrawLinense
Our model39%31%30%
Market39%31%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Linense: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MariliaLinense
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.51.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 6.41.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.24.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marilia 102 Linense

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Brazil Paulista Cup
Linense3-1
HT 1-1
Marilia
25/05/21
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Linense0-1
HT 0-0
Marilia
25/01/20
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Marilia0-1
HT 0-0
Linense

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Linense 5320 9311
2 Bandeirante 5221 538
3 Marilia 5113 484
4 Gremio Prudente 5113 374

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMariliaLinense
Bandeirante 1-1 D 0-0 D
Gremio Prudente 1-0 W 5-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Linense (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marilia

LWDDDLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Bandeirante
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-1 1-1 109 D
02/08 Bandeirante
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-3 1-3 92 L
26/07 Linense
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-1 1-3 115 L
18/07 Gremio Prudente
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-0 44 W
26/04 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-1 0-2 35 L
23/04 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-1 2-2 54 D
19/04 XV de Jau
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-1 2-2 D
12/04 XV de Jau
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-0 47 D
05/04 EC Sao Bernardo
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 2-0 86 W
28/03 EC Sao Bernardo
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-2 45 L

Linense

LLLLDDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Gremio Prudente
Brazil Paulista Cup
3-1 5-2 43 W
04/08 Gremio Prudente
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 25 D
26/07 Marilia
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-1 3-1 25 W
19/07 Bandeirante
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 23 D
07/03 Ferroviaria SP
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-0 1-1 17 D
01/03 Santo Andre SP
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-1 1-1 24 D
25/02 Sao Bento
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-1 0-1 123 L
22/02 Gremio Prudente
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-1 0-2 58 L
18/02 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
0-0 0-1 35 L
14/02 Inter de Limeira
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
1-0 1-2 45 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marilia vs Linense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marilia win (39%). Probabilities: Marilia 39%, draw 31%, Linense 30%.

How many goals are expected in Marilia vs Linense?

The model expects 2.22 goals (Marilia 1.2 · Linense 1.02), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Marilia vs Linense?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.