Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 22/08, 20:00

Prediction: XV Piracicaba vs Uniao Sao Joao

Team pages: XV Piracicaba · Uniao Sao Joao

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
XV Piracicaba1.3
Uniao Sao Joao0.68
1X2
52% 29% 20%
XV Piracicaba Draw Uniao Sao Joao
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
XV Piracicaba 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLDDLDLW
Uniao Sao Joao 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDDWDD
Head-to-head
XV Piracicaba 1–2–0 Uniao Sao Joao (3 last)
  • Uniao Sao Joao0-0XV Piracicaba
  • Uniao Sao Joao1-1XV Piracicaba
  • XV Piracicaba4-2Uniao Sao Joao
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · XV Piracicaba 1491 · Uniao Sao Joao 1511
XV PiracicabaDrawUniao Sao Joao
Our model50%31%18%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

XV PiracicabaUniao Sao Joao
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.11.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.40.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 6.82 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.24.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · XV Piracicaba 120 Uniao Sao Joao

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/07/26
Brazil Paulista Cup
Uniao Sao Joao0-0
HT 0-0
XV Piracicaba
10/08/24
Brazil Paulista Cup
Uniao Sao Joao1-1
HT 1-0
XV Piracicaba
06/07/24
Brazil Paulista Cup
XV Piracicaba4-2
HT 1-1
Uniao Sao Joao

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comercial FC 5212 537
2 Uniao Sao Joao 5140 547
3 Noroeste 5131 676
4 XV Piracicaba 5122 355

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentXV PiracicabaUniao Sao Joao
Comercial FC 1-0 W 1-1 D
Noroeste 1-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

XV Piracicaba

LDWLDDLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/08 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-0 36 W
09/08 Noroeste
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-2 64 L
01/08 Noroeste
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 1-1 34 D
25/07 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 0-2 123 L
23/07 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 42 D
11/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 93 D
04/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-4 147 L
27/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 53 W
20/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 86 D
07/06 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 45 L

Uniao Sao Joao

WWLDLDDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/08 Noroeste
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-1 26 D
08/08 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-1 36 D
01/08 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 1-0 54 W
25/07 Noroeste
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 2-2 63 D
23/07 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 12 D
04/07 Santos
America Friendlies
0-0 0-3 40 L
21/03 EC Sao Bernardo
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-1 2-2 28 D
14/03 Paulista FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-1 0-3 76 L
11/03 AA Francana
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 2-1 14 W
07/03 Catanduva FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-0 2-0 67 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in XV Piracicaba vs Uniao Sao Joao?

According to our model, the most likely result is a XV Piracicaba win (52%). Probabilities: XV Piracicaba 52%, draw 29%, Uniao Sao Joao 20%.

How many goals are expected in XV Piracicaba vs Uniao Sao Joao?

The model expects 1.98 goals (XV Piracicaba 1.3 · Uniao Sao Joao 0.68), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in XV Piracicaba vs Uniao Sao Joao?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.