Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 22/08, 20:00

Prediction: Primavera SP vs Paulista FC

Team pages: Primavera SP · Paulista FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Primavera SP1.41
Paulista FC0.84
1X2
50% 29% 22%
Primavera SP Draw Paulista FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Primavera SP 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLWWDW
Paulista FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWWWLWLLDW
Head-to-head
Primavera SP 3–3 Paulista FC (6 last)
  • Paulista FC1-0Primavera SP
  • Primavera SP2-0Paulista FC
  • Paulista FC1-0Primavera SP
  • Primavera SP2-0Paulista FC
  • Paulista FC0-1Primavera SP
  • Paulista FC1-0Primavera SP
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Primavera SP 1523 · Paulista FC 1518
Primavera SPDrawPaulista FC
Our model49%30%21%
Market50%28%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Primavera SPPaulista FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.31.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.42.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.26.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Primavera SP 303 Paulista FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/07/26
Brazil Paulista Cup
Paulista FC1-0
HT 0-0
Primavera SP
31/08/25
Brazil Paulista Cup
Primavera SP2-0
HT 2-0
Paulista FC
24/08/25
Brazil Paulista Cup
Paulista FC1-0
HT 1-0
Primavera SP
03/08/25
Brazil Paulista Cup
Primavera SP2-0
HT 1-0
Paulista FC
28/06/25
Brazil Paulista Cup
Paulista FC0-1
HT 0-1
Primavera SP
07/03/20
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Paulista FC1-0
HT 0-0
Primavera SP

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Primavera SP 5311 7410
2 CA Juventus 5212 657
3 Paulista FC 5212 467
4 Osasco Sporting 5113 464

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPrimavera SPPaulista FC
Osasco Sporting 2-1 W 1-1 D
CA Juventus 2-2 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Primavera SP

LLDWLLWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Osasco Sporting
Brazil Paulista Cup
2-1 2-1 55 W
08/08 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-2 2-2 46 D
02/08 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 1-0 23 W
26/07 Osasco Sporting
Brazil Paulista Cup
2-0 2-0 11 W
18/07 Paulista FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-1 47 L
27/02 Ceara
Copa do Brasil
0-1 1-2 35 L
18/02 Araguaina
Copa do Brasil
1-0 3-0 24 W
16/02 Noroeste
Brazil Campeonato Paulista
1-1 3-3 58 D
08/02 Sao Paulo
Brazil Campeonato Paulista
0-0 1-2 26 L
01/02 Portuguesa Desportos
Brazil Campeonato Paulista
1-0 1-2 64 L

Paulista FC

DWWWLWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-0 66 W
09/08 Osasco Sporting
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 1-1 69 D
01/08 Osasco Sporting
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-2 0-2 66 L
26/07 CA Juventus
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 1-3 57 L
18/07 Primavera SP
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 1-0 47 W
05/04 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-1 26 L
28/03 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-0 2-1 42 W
21/03 Catanduva FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-1 3-1 29 W
14/03 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 3-0 56 W
11/03 Uniao Barbarense
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 1-1 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Primavera SP vs Paulista FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Primavera SP win (50%). Probabilities: Primavera SP 50%, draw 29%, Paulista FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Primavera SP vs Paulista FC?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Primavera SP 1.41 · Paulista FC 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Primavera SP vs Paulista FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.