Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 22/08, 20:00

Prediction: CA Juventus vs Osasco Sporting

Team pages: CA Juventus · Osasco Sporting

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.09Total

CA Juventus1.53

Osasco Sporting0.57

1X2

61% 25% 14%

CA Juventus Draw Osasco Sporting

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

CA Juventus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Osasco Sporting 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CA Juventus 3–2–1 Osasco Sporting (6 last)

Osasco Sporting0-1CA Juventus
Osasco Sporting0-0CA Juventus
CA Juventus2-3Osasco Sporting
CA Juventus1-1Osasco Sporting
Osasco Sporting0-1CA Juventus
Osasco Sporting0-4CA Juventus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Juventus 1519 · Osasco Sporting 1480

	CA Juventus	Draw	Osasco Sporting
Our model	60%	28%	13%
Market	62%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours CA Juventus: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Juventus	Osasco Sporting
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.8	3.5 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.7	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.00

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.53▲	Pinn 1.66 ★
X	4.00 → 3.70▼	Bet365 3.70
2	6.00 → 5.50▼	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
22:06 +40’	1.45	4.00	6.00
10:01 +13’	1.53▲	3.70▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:09 +5’	1.67	3.17	4.55
16:45 +4’	1.66▼	3.22▲	4.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Juventus 3–2–1 Osasco Sporting

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/07/26 Brazil Paulista Cup	Osasco Sporting	0-1 HT 0-0	CA Juventus
01/02/26 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	Osasco Sporting	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Juventus
29/01/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	CA Juventus	2-3 HT 2-0	Osasco Sporting
04/08/24 Brazil Paulista Cup	CA Juventus	1-1 HT 0-1	Osasco Sporting
01/07/24 Brazil Paulista Cup	Osasco Sporting	0-1 HT 0-1	CA Juventus
16/03/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	Osasco Sporting	0-4 HT 0-1	CA Juventus

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Primavera SP	5	3	1	1	7	4	10
2	CA Juventus	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
3	Paulista FC	5	2	1	2	4	6	7
4	Osasco Sporting	5	1	1	3	4	6	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Juventus	Osasco Sporting
Paulista FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Primavera SP	2-2 D	1-2 L
CA Votuporanguense	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA Juventus (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CA Juventus

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
08/08	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	2-0	2-2	3	6	D
02/08	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
26/07	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	0-1	3-1	10	7	W
19/07	Osasco Sporting Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/05	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	2-1	0	12	W
07/05	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/04	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
21/04	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
16/04	Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L

Osasco Sporting

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	1-2	1-2	10	5	L
09/08	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
01/08	Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup	2-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/07	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
19/07	CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	0-1	12	4	L
07/03	EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	1-2	9	6	L
01/03	Ituano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
26/02	Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
22/02	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
18/02	Monte Azul SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	1-1	5	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Juventus vs Osasco Sporting?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Juventus win (61%). Probabilities: CA Juventus 61%, draw 25%, Osasco Sporting 14%.

How many goals are expected in CA Juventus vs Osasco Sporting?

The model expects 2.09 goals (CA Juventus 1.53 · Osasco Sporting 0.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Juventus vs Osasco Sporting?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.