Prediction: Gremio Prudente vs Marilia
Team pages: Gremio Prudente · Marilia
- Marilia1-0Gremio Prudente
- Gremio Prudente2-2Marilia
- Gremio Prudente1-2Marilia
- Marilia0-0Gremio Prudente
- Marilia3-0Gremio Prudente
| Gremio Prudente | Draw | Marilia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Marilia: 3-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio Prudente | Marilia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 3.4 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Prudente 0–2–3 Marilia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Brazil Paulista Cup | Marilia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gremio Prudente |
| 31/01/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 | Gremio Prudente | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Marilia |
| 19/08/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Gremio Prudente | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Marilia |
| 16/07/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Marilia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio Prudente |
| 26/02/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 | Marilia | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio Prudente |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Marilia | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gremio Prudente | Marilia |
|---|---|---|
| Bandeirante | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Linense | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Marilia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio Prudente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bandeirante Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Linense Brazil Paulista Cup |
1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Linense Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Bandeirante Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Marilia Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | EC Taubate Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/02 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
3-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Linense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/02 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
Marilia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Linense Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/08 | Bandeirante Brazil Paulista Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 9 | D |
| 02/08 | Bandeirante Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Linense Brazil Paulista Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Gremio Prudente Brazil Paulista Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Portuguesa Santista Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/04 | Portuguesa Santista Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | XV de Jau Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | XV de Jau Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 05/04 | EC Sao Bernardo Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio Prudente vs Marilia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Prudente win (39%). Probabilities: Gremio Prudente 39%, draw 30%, Marilia 32%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio Prudente vs Marilia?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Gremio Prudente 1.16 · Marilia 1.01), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio Prudente vs Marilia?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.