Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 26/07, 00:00
Prediction: Primavera SP vs Osasco Sporting
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Primavera SP1.72
Osasco Sporting0.72
1X2
Primavera SP
Draw
Osasco Sporting
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Primavera SP
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Osasco Sporting
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Primavera SP
4–1–1
Osasco Sporting
(6 last)
- Primavera SP1-0Osasco Sporting
- Osasco Sporting0-1Primavera SP
- Primavera SP1-3Osasco Sporting
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Primavera SP 1477 · Osasco Sporting 1510
| Primavera SP | Draw | Osasco Sporting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Primavera SP: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Primavera SP | Osasco Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Primavera SP 4–1–1 Osasco Sporting
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Primavera SP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Osasco Sporting |
| 06/03/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Osasco Sporting | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Primavera SP |
| 05/08/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Primavera SP | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Osasco Sporting |
| 01/07/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Osasco Sporting | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Primavera SP |
| 25/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Primavera SP | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Osasco Sporting |
| 05/02/22 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Osasco Sporting | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Primavera SP |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Paulista FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Primavera SP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 3 | Osasco Sporting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Primavera SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 27/02 | Ceara Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/02 | Araguaina Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/02 | Noroeste Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 08/02 | Sao Paulo Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/02 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/01 | Capivariano SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/01 | Botafogo SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/01 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/01 | Mirassol Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Osasco Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 01/03 | Ituano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/02 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/02 | Monte Azul SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 14/02 | Sao Bento Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 12/02 | Santo Andre SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 08/02 | Linense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 01/02 | CA Juventus Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Primavera SP vs Osasco Sporting?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Primavera SP win (61%). Probabilities: Primavera SP 61%, draw 24%, Osasco Sporting 15%.
How many goals are expected in Primavera SP vs Osasco Sporting?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Primavera SP 1.72 · Osasco Sporting 0.72), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Primavera SP vs Osasco Sporting?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.