Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 16/08, 16:00
Prediction: Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP
Team pages: Osasco Sporting · Primavera SP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Osasco Sporting1.14
Primavera SP1.19
1X2
Osasco Sporting
Draw
Primavera SP
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Osasco Sporting
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Primavera SP
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Osasco Sporting
1–5
Primavera SP
(6 last)
- Primavera SP2-0Osasco Sporting
- Primavera SP1-0Osasco Sporting
- Osasco Sporting0-1Primavera SP
- Primavera SP1-3Osasco Sporting
- Osasco Sporting1-2Primavera SP
- Primavera SP3-2Osasco Sporting
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Osasco Sporting 1505 · Primavera SP 1514
| Osasco Sporting | Draw | Primavera SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 31% | 36% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Primavera SP: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Osasco Sporting | Primavera SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.4 | 1.9 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Osasco Sporting 1–0–5 Primavera SP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Brazil Paulista Cup | Primavera SP | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Osasco Sporting |
| 08/02/25 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Primavera SP | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Osasco Sporting |
| 06/03/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Osasco Sporting | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Primavera SP |
| 05/08/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Primavera SP | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Osasco Sporting |
| 01/07/23 Brazil Paulista Cup | Osasco Sporting | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Primavera SP |
| 25/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Primavera SP | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Osasco Sporting |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Primavera SP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | CA Juventus | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Paulista FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Osasco Sporting | Primavera SP |
|---|---|---|
| Paulista FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| CA Juventus | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Osasco Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 01/08 | Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 01/03 | Ituano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/02 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/02 | CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/02 | Monte Azul SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 14/02 | Sao Bento Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Primavera SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Osasco Sporting Brazil Paulista Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Paulista FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 27/02 | Ceara Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 18/02 | Araguaina Copa do Brasil |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/02 | Noroeste Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 08/02 | Sao Paulo Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/02 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/01 | Capivariano SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Primavera SP win (36%). Probabilities: Osasco Sporting 34%, draw 30%, Primavera SP 36%.
How many goals are expected in Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Osasco Sporting 1.14 · Primavera SP 1.19), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Osasco Sporting vs Primavera SP?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.