Football · Bulgaria First League · 12/09, 20:15
Prediction: CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
Team pages: CSKA Sofia · Arda Kardzhali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
CSKA Sofia1.33
Arda Kardzhali1.12
1X2
CSKA Sofia
Draw
Arda Kardzhali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Sofia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Arda Kardzhali
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA Sofia
3–1–2
Arda Kardzhali
(6 last)
- CSKA Sofia3-1Arda Kardzhali
- Arda Kardzhali1-0CSKA Sofia
- Arda Kardzhali1-1CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia2-1Arda Kardzhali
- CSKA Sofia2-0Arda Kardzhali
- Arda Kardzhali2-1CSKA Sofia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CSKA Sofia: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Sofia 3–1–2 Arda Kardzhali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 18/09/25 Bulgaria First League | Arda Kardzhali | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 31/05/25 Bulgaria First League | Arda Kardzhali | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 26/02/25 Bulgaria Cup | CSKA Sofia | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 16/02/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 24/08/24 Bulgaria First League | Arda Kardzhali | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CSKA Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 11 | Cherno More Varna | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSKA Sofia | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Botev Vratsa | 5-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Septemvri Sofia | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Botev Plovdiv | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Slavia Sofia | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 17 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
Arda Kardzhali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Sofia win (40%). Probabilities: CSKA Sofia 40%, draw 30%, Arda Kardzhali 30%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
The model expects 2.45 goals (CSKA Sofia 1.33 · Arda Kardzhali 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.