Football · Bulgaria First League · 11/09, 20:00
Prediction: Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Team pages: Cherno More Varna · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Cherno More Varna1.35
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.36
1X2
Cherno More Varna
Draw
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cherno More Varna
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cherno More Varna
2–2–2
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
(6 last)
- Cherno More Varna0-1Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-1Cherno More Varna
- Cherno More Varna4-0Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia2-1Cherno More Varna
- Cherno More Varna3-0Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0-0Cherno More Varna
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia (rating 1425 vs 1482).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cherno More Varna 2–2–2 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 18/07/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cherno More Varna |
| 03/12/24 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 04/08/24 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cherno More Varna |
| 04/04/24 Bulgaria First League | Cherno More Varna | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 01/10/23 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cherno More Varna |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 17 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | Septemvri Sofia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
| 11 | Cherno More Varna | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 4 |
| 12 | Dunav Ruse | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cherno More Varna | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Dunav Ruse | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Botev Plovdiv | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Spartak Varna | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Arda Kardzhali | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cherno More Varna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 22/05 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cherno More Varna win (36%). Probabilities: Cherno More Varna 36%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 36%.
How many goals are expected in Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Cherno More Varna 1.35 · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1.36), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.