Football · Bulgaria First League · 26/10, 18:30
Prediction: CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad
Team pages: CSKA Sofia · Ludogorets Razgrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
CSKA Sofia1.31
Ludogorets Razgrad1.16
1X2
CSKA Sofia
Draw
Ludogorets Razgrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Sofia
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Ludogorets Razgrad
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA Sofia
2–2–2
Ludogorets Razgrad
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-0CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia1-0Ludogorets Razgrad
- CSKA Sofia0-0Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-2CSKA Sofia
- Ludogorets Razgrad3-0CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia0-0Ludogorets Razgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSKA Sofia 1610 · Ludogorets Razgrad 1620
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.4 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Sofia 2–2–2 Ludogorets Razgrad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 03/05/26 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 29/04/26 Bulgaria Cup | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 21/04/26 Bulgaria Cup | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-2 HT 1-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 14/03/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 05/10/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CSKA Sofia | Ludogorets Razgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Arda Kardzhali | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Spartak Varna | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cherno More Varna | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Botev Vratsa | 5-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Septemvri Sofia | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Botev Plovdiv | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 0 L | 8 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 16/09 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 17 | 5 | W |
Ludogorets Razgrad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Sofia win (39%). Probabilities: CSKA Sofia 39%, draw 29%, Ludogorets Razgrad 32%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model expects 2.47 goals (CSKA Sofia 1.31 · Ludogorets Razgrad 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.