Football · Bulgaria First League · 31/10, 13:00
Prediction: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad
Team pages: Lokomotiv Plovdiv · Ludogorets Razgrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.82
Ludogorets Razgrad1.21
1X2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Draw
Ludogorets Razgrad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Ludogorets Razgrad
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–3–2
Ludogorets Razgrad
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- Ludogorets Razgrad0-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-1Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv1-0Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad (rating 1498 vs 1611).
- H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets Razgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–3–2 Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| 29/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| 02/03/26 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| 14/09/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 30/03/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 06/10/24 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Ludogorets Razgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Botev Plovdiv | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Cherno More Varna | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Arda Kardzhali | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Dunav Ruse | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Spartak Varna | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Septemvri Sofia | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 6 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/09 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 28/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 16/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 26/07 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ludogorets Razgrad win (44%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24%, draw 32%, Ludogorets Razgrad 44%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.82 · Ludogorets Razgrad 1.21), with a 59% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Ludogorets Razgrad?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.