Football · Bulgaria First League · 30/10, 18:30
Prediction: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
Team pages: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia · Botev Plovdiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.48
Botev Plovdiv1.61
1X2
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Draw
Botev Plovdiv
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Botev Plovdiv
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
2–2–2
Botev Plovdiv
(6 last)
- Botev Plovdiv1-1Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Botev Plovdiv3-1Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia3-2Botev Plovdiv
- Botev Plovdiv0-1Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-1Botev Plovdiv
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-5Botev Plovdiv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botev Plovdiv (rating 1473 vs 1548).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Botev Plovdiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 1.5 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 2–2–2 Botev Plovdiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 Bulgaria First League | Botev Plovdiv | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 27/03/26 Europe Friendlies | Botev Plovdiv | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 06/12/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Botev Plovdiv |
| 10/08/25 Bulgaria First League | Botev Plovdiv | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 18/04/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Botev Plovdiv |
| 15/12/24 Bulgaria Cup | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Botev Plovdiv |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Spartak Varna | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Cherno More Varna | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Slavia Sofia | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Botev Plovdiv (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Botev Plovdiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 10/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Botev Plovdiv win (40%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 34%, draw 26%, Botev Plovdiv 40%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1.48 · Botev Plovdiv 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.