Football · Bulgaria First League · 02/11, 18:30
Prediction: Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia
Team pages: Arda Kardzhali · Septemvri Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Arda Kardzhali1.97
Septemvri Sofia0.91
1X2
Arda Kardzhali
Draw
Septemvri Sofia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Kardzhali
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Septemvri Sofia
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arda Kardzhali
3–1–2
Septemvri Sofia
(6 last)
- Septemvri Sofia1-1Arda Kardzhali
- Septemvri Sofia1-4Arda Kardzhali
- Arda Kardzhali0-1Septemvri Sofia
- Arda Kardzhali1-2Septemvri Sofia
- Septemvri Sofia0-4Arda Kardzhali
- Arda Kardzhali2-1Septemvri Sofia
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arda Kardzhali (rating 1517 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Arda Kardzhali: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arda Kardzhali 3–1–2 Septemvri Sofia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/26 Bulgaria First League | Septemvri Sofia | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 21/03/26 Bulgaria First League | Septemvri Sofia | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 20/10/25 Bulgaria First League | Arda Kardzhali | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Septemvri Sofia |
| 08/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Arda Kardzhali | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Septemvri Sofia |
| 07/04/25 Bulgaria First League | Septemvri Sofia | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Arda Kardzhali |
| 25/10/24 Bulgaria First League | Arda Kardzhali | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Septemvri Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arda Kardzhali | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets Razgrad | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| CSKA Sofia | 1-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Botev Plovdiv | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Botev Vratsa | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Slavia Sofia | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Arda Kardzhali (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Kardzhali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/09 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 17/08 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
Septemvri Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arda Kardzhali win (61%). Probabilities: Arda Kardzhali 61%, draw 23%, Septemvri Sofia 16%.
How many goals are expected in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Arda Kardzhali 1.97 · Septemvri Sofia 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arda Kardzhali vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.