Football · Bulgaria First League · 31/10, 15:30
Prediction: Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia
Team pages: Dunav Ruse · Levski Sofia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Dunav Ruse1.17
Levski Sofia1.62
1X2
Dunav Ruse
Draw
Levski Sofia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunav Ruse
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Levski Sofia
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunav Ruse
0–6
Levski Sofia
(6 last)
- Levski Sofia2-1Dunav Ruse
- Levski Sofia1-0Dunav Ruse
- Dunav Ruse1-3Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia2-0Dunav Ruse
- Dunav Ruse1-4Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia3-0Dunav Ruse
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levski Sofia (rating 1473 vs 1595).
- H2H favours Levski Sofia: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunav Ruse | Levski Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunav Ruse 0–0–6 Levski Sofia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/26 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 14/12/24 Bulgaria Cup | Levski Sofia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 22/11/23 Bulgaria Cup | Dunav Ruse | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Levski Sofia |
| 31/10/19 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 15/07/19 Bulgaria First League | Dunav Ruse | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Levski Sofia |
| 01/12/18 Bulgaria First League | Levski Sofia | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Dunav Ruse |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 25 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Dunav Ruse | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 10 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 9 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunav Ruse | Levski Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Septemvri Sofia | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Botev Vratsa | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Slavia Sofia | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Cherno More Varna | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 7 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Levski Sofia (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunav Ruse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/10 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Levski Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 07/08 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Levski Sofia win (47%). Probabilities: Dunav Ruse 26%, draw 27%, Levski Sofia 47%.
How many goals are expected in Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Dunav Ruse 1.17 · Levski Sofia 1.62), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.