Football · Bulgaria First League · 24/10, 15:30
Prediction: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
Team pages: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia · Botev Vratsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.61
Botev Vratsa1.13
1X2
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Draw
Botev Vratsa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Botev Vratsa
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
2–1–3
Botev Vratsa
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia2-2Botev Vratsa
- Botev Vratsa3-2Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0-1Botev Vratsa
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia3-0Botev Vratsa
- Botev Vratsa0-3Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
- Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia0-1Botev Vratsa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1456 · Botev Vratsa 1452
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Draw | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 27% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Botev Vratsa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 2–1–3 Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/26 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Botev Vratsa |
| 14/04/26 Bulgaria First League | Botev Vratsa | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 08/11/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 07/05/25 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 14/02/25 Bulgaria First League | Botev Vratsa | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
| 23/08/24 Bulgaria First League | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Botev Vratsa |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More Varna | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | Botev Vratsa |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CSKA Sofia | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Dunav Ruse | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Slavia Sofia | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Levski Sofia | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 5 L | 0 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 20/09 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 16/09 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/09 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia win (47%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 47%, draw 27%, Botev Vratsa 26%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1.61 · Botev Vratsa 1.13), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.