Football · Bulgaria First League · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna

Team pages: CSKA 1948 Sofia · Spartak Varna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

CSKA 1948 Sofia1.93

Spartak Varna1

1X2

58% 24% 18%

CSKA 1948 Sofia Draw Spartak Varna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

CSKA 1948 Sofia 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWWLW

Spartak Varna 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDDDLW

Head-to-head

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–5–0 Spartak Varna (6 last)

Spartak Varna2-2CSKA 1948 Sofia
Spartak Varna1-2CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia1-1Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna1-1CSKA 1948 Sofia
CSKA 1948 Sofia2-2Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna3-3CSKA 1948 Sofia

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA 1948 Sofia (rating 1581 vs 1497).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSKA 1948 Sofia	Spartak Varna
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.1	1.2 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.86

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Pinn 1.38
X	4.53 → 4.53	Pinn 4.53
2	7.01 → 7.01	Pinn 7.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +49’	1.38	4.53	7.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA 1948 Sofia 1–5–0 Spartak Varna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/07/26 Bulgaria First League	Spartak Varna	2-2 HT 2-0	CSKA 1948 Sofia
14/03/26 Bulgaria First League	Spartak Varna	1-2 HT 0-0	CSKA 1948 Sofia
04/10/25 Bulgaria First League	CSKA 1948 Sofia	1-1 HT 1-0	Spartak Varna
29/11/24 Bulgaria First League	Spartak Varna	1-1 HT 0-1	CSKA 1948 Sofia
28/07/24 Bulgaria First League	CSKA 1948 Sofia	2-2 HT 2-1	Spartak Varna
03/05/23 Bulgaria First League	Spartak Varna	3-3 HT 0-0	CSKA 1948 Sofia

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	10	9	1	0	23	4	28
2	CSKA Sofia	11	8	3	0	27	9	27
3	Ludogorets Razgrad	10	8	2	0	21	7	26
4	CSKA 1948 Sofia	12	8	1	3	25	13	25
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	17	18	19
6	Arda Kardzhali	11	5	2	4	15	17	17
7	Spartak Varna	11	3	4	4	11	15	13
8	Slavia Sofia	11	2	5	4	9	9	11
9	Botev Vratsa	11	2	3	6	9	20	9
10	Dunav Ruse	11	2	2	7	13	21	8
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	11	2	2	7	6	14	8
12	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	11	1	5	5	12	19	8
13	Septemvri Sofia	11	2	2	7	10	21	8
14	Cherno More Varna	11	1	3	7	11	22	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSKA 1948 Sofia	Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv	4-0 W	2-3 L
CSKA Sofia	2-3 L	1-1 D
Slavia Sofia	2-1 W	0-0 D
Levski Sofia	0-1 L	0-6 L
Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2-0 W	1-0 W
Septemvri Sofia	0-1 L	0-1 L
Cherno More Varna	4-1 W	3-0 W
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	3-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CSKA 1948 Sofia (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSKA 1948 Sofia

WWWLWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
11/10	CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-2	2-3	1	8	L
18/09	Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
12/09	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
05/09	Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
28/08	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-0	0	4	W
23/08	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
14/08	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League	1-1	4-1	7	2	W
08/08	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/07	Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League	1-1	2-1	2	2	W

Spartak Varna

WWLLLDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Botev Vratsa Bulgaria First League	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
20/09	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
13/09	Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
05/09	CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
30/08	Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
22/08	Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
17/08	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	6	5	L
10/08	Botev Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	0-3	2-3	1	2	L
03/08	Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League	1-0	1-0	1	10	W
26/07	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League	1-0	3-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA 1948 Sofia win (58%). Probabilities: CSKA 1948 Sofia 58%, draw 24%, Spartak Varna 18%.

How many goals are expected in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

The model expects 2.93 goals (CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.93 · Spartak Varna 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.