Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 15:30
Prediction: Luneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.5Total
Luneburger SK Hansa1.25
Werder Bremen3.25
1X2
Luneburger SK Hansa
Draw
Werder Bremen
Markets
Under 7.5 goals 69%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Luneburger SK Hansa
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Werder Bremen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luneburger SK Hansa 1528 · Werder Bremen 1525
| Luneburger SK Hansa | Draw | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 1% | 1% | 98% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.5 goals · Bet365 line 7.5 · -3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Luneburger SK Hansa | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / – | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | – / – | 2.4 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luneburger SK Hansa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | SV Meppen II Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/08 | Eintracht Braunschweig II Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | VfV Borussia 06 Hildesheim Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Heeslinger SC Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | SV Wilhelmshaven Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SV Holthausen/Biene Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/04 | VfV Borussia 06 Hildesheim Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | 1. FC Germania Egestorf-Langreder Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | SV Meppen II Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/04 | Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg Germany Oberliga Niedersachsen |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Werder Bremen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Auxerre Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Cottbus Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Bochum Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Fagiano Okayama World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Verden 04 Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 6-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | TSG Hoffenheim Germany Bundesliga I |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/04 | Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Werder Bremen win (88%). Probabilities: Luneburger SK Hansa 5%, draw 7%, Werder Bremen 88%.
How many goals are expected in Luneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen?
The model expects 4.5 goals (Luneburger SK Hansa 1.25 · Werder Bremen 3.25), with a 69% chance of under 7.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Luneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.