Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 15:30

Prediction: Saarbrucken vs Hertha Berlin

Team pages: Saarbrucken · Hertha Berlin

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.52Total
Saarbrucken1.52
Hertha Berlin2.01
1X2
27% 25% 47%
Saarbrucken Draw Hertha Berlin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Saarbrucken 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWLLDDWW
Hertha Berlin 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saarbrucken 1518 · Hertha Berlin 1595
SaarbruckenDrawHertha Berlin
Our model28%23%48%
Market27%27%47%
Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hertha Berlin (rating 1518 vs 1595).
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SaarbruckenHertha Berlin
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.34.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.71.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.82.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.12.9 / 0.3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saarbrucken

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Jahn Regensburg
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 1-0 105 W
09/08 Rot-Weiss Essen
Germany 3. Liga
2-2 5-2 47 W
25/07 Augsburg
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 31 D
18/07 Sandhausen
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
16/05 Hansa Rostock
Germany 3. Liga
0-2 3-4 96 L
10/05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim II
Germany 3. Liga
0-2 2-3 61 L
02/05 Waldhof Mannheim
Germany 3. Liga
1-0 2-0 65 W
26/04 Rot-Weiss Essen
Germany 3. Liga
2-1 2-1 76 W
18/04 1860 Munich
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 134 D
11/04 TSV Havelse
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 0-2 123 L

Hertha Berlin

WLWWWWDDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Heidenheim
Germany Bundesliga II
3-0 4-1 54 W
07/08 Bochum
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 1-0 27 W
31/07 Cologne
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-2 D
21/07 Mamelodi Sundowns
World Club Friendlies
1-1 1-1 20 D
17/07 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-2 93 W
11/07 FC Lok Leipzig
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-1 64 W
08/07 Lichtenberg 47
Europe Friendlies
3-0 9-0 60 W
04/07 Frohnauer SC
Club Friendly List
3-0 15-0 W
17/05 Arminia Bielefeld
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 1-6 23 L
10/05 Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga II
0-0 2-1 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saarbrucken vs Hertha Berlin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hertha Berlin win (47%). Probabilities: Saarbrucken 27%, draw 25%, Hertha Berlin 47%.

How many goals are expected in Saarbrucken vs Hertha Berlin?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Saarbrucken 1.52 · Hertha Berlin 2.01), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Saarbrucken vs Hertha Berlin?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.