Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: 1860 Munich vs Holstein Kiel

Team pages: Holstein Kiel

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
1860 Munich1.03
Holstein Kiel2.01
1X2
18% 23% 59%
1860 Munich Draw Holstein Kiel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
1860 Munich 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLWDDW
Holstein Kiel 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLWDLLDD
Head-to-head
1860 Munich 2–1–1 Holstein Kiel (4 last)
  • 1860 Munich1-3Holstein Kiel
  • 1860 Munich2-1Holstein Kiel
  • Holstein Kiel0-01860 Munich
  • Holstein Kiel1-21860 Munich
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 1860 Munich 1521 · Holstein Kiel 1478
1860 MunichDrawHolstein Kiel
Our model18%23%59%
Market18%22%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 1860 Munich (rating 1521 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours 1860 Munich: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

1860 MunichHolstein Kiel
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/0/70%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 62.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · 1860 Munich 211 Holstein Kiel

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/08/18
Germany DFB Pokal
1860 Munich1-3
HT 1-0
Holstein Kiel
02/06/15
Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs
1860 Munich2-1
HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
29/05/15
Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs
Holstein Kiel0-0
HT 0-0
1860 Munich
17/08/14
Germany DFB Pokal
Holstein Kiel1-2
HT 1-0
1860 Munich

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

1860 Munich

DDWDLLWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Memmingen
Germany Regionalliga Bayern
1-0 3-0 W
07/08 Augsburg II
Germany Regionalliga Bayern
2-1 2-2 D
01/08 Schweinfurt 05
Germany Regionalliga Bayern
1-1 2-2 D
11/07 FC Deisenhofen
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-0 93 W
16/05 Verl
Germany 3. Liga
0-1 0-3 33 L
09/05 FC Ingolstadt
Germany 3. Liga
1-0 1-2 62 L
02/05 Schweinfurt 05
Germany 3. Liga
1-1 1-1 105 D
25/04 SSV Ulm 1846
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 3-2 49 W
18/04 Saarbrucken
Germany 3. Liga
0-0 0-0 14 D
12/04 Jahn Regensburg
Germany 3. Liga
1-2 2-2 94 D

Holstein Kiel

WLLLWDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II
0-2 2-2 56 D
08/08 Darmstadt
Germany Bundesliga II
2-0 2-2 45 D
29/07 TSG Hoffenheim
Elite Club Friendlies
1-2 1-3 10 L
25/07 Mainz
Europe Friendlies
0-2 0-3 20 L
18/07 Swansea
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 45 D
15/07 Al Ahli Jeddah
World Club Friendlies
2-1 4-1 61 W
04/07 FC Fredericia
Club Friendly List
0-2 1-3 L
17/05 Dynamo Dresden
Germany Bundesliga II
0-2 1-2 95 L
09/05 Magdeburg
Germany Bundesliga II
0-2 1-3 104 L
02/05 Eintracht Braunschweig
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 2-0 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 1860 Munich vs Holstein Kiel?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Holstein Kiel win (59%). Probabilities: 1860 Munich 18%, draw 23%, Holstein Kiel 59%.

How many goals are expected in 1860 Munich vs Holstein Kiel?

The model expects 3.04 goals (1860 Munich 1.03 · Holstein Kiel 2.01), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in 1860 Munich vs Holstein Kiel?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.