Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 22/08, 13:00
Prediction: Cottbus vs Augsburg
Team pages: Cottbus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.9Total
Cottbus1.51
Augsburg2.4
1X2
Cottbus
Draw
Augsburg
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cottbus
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Augsburg
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cottbus 1580 · Augsburg 1533
| Cottbus | Draw | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 23% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.9 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cottbus (rating 1580 vs 1533).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cottbus | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.6 / 1.3 | 3.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cottbus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Hannover 96 Germany Bundesliga II |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Werder Bremen Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Dresden Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Mlada Boleslav Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Hertha Berlin II Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | VSG Altglienicke Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Lsv Bergen Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | SV Lok Calau Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 17-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Jahn Regensburg Germany 3. Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Wehen SV Germany 3. Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Augsburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Leeds Elite Club Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Sassuolo Elite Club Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | SC Schwaz Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 15-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 30/07 | Bournemouth Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Saarbrucken Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 23/06 | FC Deisenhofen Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Eintracht Frankfurt Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cottbus vs Augsburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Augsburg win (56%). Probabilities: Cottbus 22%, draw 22%, Augsburg 56%.
How many goals are expected in Cottbus vs Augsburg?
The model expects 3.9 goals (Cottbus 1.51 · Augsburg 2.4), with a 58% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cottbus vs Augsburg?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.