Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 21/08, 18:00
Prediction: SC St. Tonis 1911/20 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
5.12Total
SC St. Tonis 1911/201.56
Eintracht Frankfurt3.56
1X2
SC St. Tonis 1911/20
Draw
Eintracht Frankfurt
Markets
Under 5.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
SC St. Tonis 1911/20
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Eintracht Frankfurt
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC St. Tonis 1911/20 1464 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1543
| SC St. Tonis 1911/20 | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| Market | 1% | 2% | 97% |
Estimated total (ours)
5.12 goals · Bet365 line 7.25 · -2.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eintracht Frankfurt (rating 1464 vs 1543).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC St. Tonis 1911/20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.3 | 2.4 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0 / 2.5 | 3.9 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC St. Tonis 1911/20
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Spvg. Solingen-Wald Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | Fortuna Dusseldorf II Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 12/07 | CSV Marathon Krefeld Club Friendly List |
5-1 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | VfB Hilden Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | SV Sonsbeck Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
1-3 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | FC Monheim Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Sportfreunde Baumberg Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | DJK Adler Union Frintrop Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | VfL Viktoria Juchen-Garzweiler Germany Oberliga Niederrhein |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Eintracht Frankfurt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Brentford Elite Club Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-7 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 12/08 | FSV Frankfurt Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 20 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Hull Elite Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Waldhof Mannheim Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Trabzonspor Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Giessen Europe Friendlies |
4-0 | 7-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC St. Tonis 1911/20 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Eintracht Frankfurt win (86%). Probabilities: SC St. Tonis 1911/20 6%, draw 7%, Eintracht Frankfurt 86%.
How many goals are expected in SC St. Tonis 1911/20 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model expects 5.12 goals (SC St. Tonis 1911/20 1.56 · Eintracht Frankfurt 3.56), with a 67% chance of under 7.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SC St. Tonis 1911/20 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.