Football · Germany DFB Pokal · 23/08, 13:00

Prediction: Greuther Furth vs Bochum

Team pages: Greuther Furth · Bochum

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Greuther Furth1.23
Bochum1.23
1X2
35% 29% 35%
Greuther Furth Draw Bochum
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Greuther Furth 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWDL
Bochum 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWDWLDLW
Head-to-head
Greuther Furth 1–5 Bochum (6 last)
  • Bochum2-1Greuther Furth
  • Greuther Furth0-3Bochum
  • Bochum2-1Greuther Furth
  • Greuther Furth0-1Bochum
  • Greuther Furth1-2Bochum
  • Bochum0-2Greuther Furth
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greuther Furth 1502 · Bochum 1562
Greuther FurthDrawBochum
Our model35%30%35%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bochum (rating 1502 vs 1562).
  • H2H favours Bochum: 5-0-1.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Greuther FurthBochum
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.41.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.60.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 62.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Greuther Furth 105 Bochum

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Germany Bundesliga II
Bochum2-1
HT 1-0
Greuther Furth
29/11/25
Germany Bundesliga II
Greuther Furth0-3
HT 0-3
Bochum
05/03/22
Germany Bundesliga I
Bochum2-1
HT 1-0
Greuther Furth
16/10/21
Germany Bundesliga I
Greuther Furth0-1
HT 0-0
Bochum
06/03/21
Germany Bundesliga II
Greuther Furth1-2
HT 1-1
Bochum
07/11/20
Germany Bundesliga II
Bochum0-2
HT 0-2
Greuther Furth

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greuther Furth

LWLWWWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Nurnberg
Germany Bundesliga II
2-2 2-4 55 L
09/08 St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II
0-0 1-1 21 D
31/07 SC Freiburg
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-0 W
25/07 TSG Hoffenheim
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-4 L
18/07 FC Zurich
Europe Friendlies
1-2 3-2 31 W
11/07 Eintracht Bamberg
Club Friendly List
3-1 3-1 W
08/07 SC Eltersdorf
Europe Friendlies
2-0 3-0 91 W
05/07 SpVgg Bayreuth
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
26/05 Rot-Weiss Essen
Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs
1-0 2-0 93 W
22/05 Rot-Weiss Essen
Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs
0-0 0-1 84 L

Bochum

DWWWDWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Eintracht Braunschweig
Germany Bundesliga II
1-0 1-0 65 W
07/08 Hertha Berlin
Germany Bundesliga II
0-1 0-1 57 L
01/08 Sheff Utd
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 63 D
25/07 Werder Bremen
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 L
21/07 Swansea
Europe Friendlies
2-0 2-0 W
15/07 Ajax
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 71 D
11/07 Antwerp
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 W
04/07 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-2 50 W
17/05 Karlsruher SC
Germany Bundesliga II
1-1 2-1 26 W
09/05 Hannover 96
Germany Bundesliga II
0-0 1-1 45 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greuther Furth vs Bochum?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Greuther Furth win (35%). Probabilities: Greuther Furth 35%, draw 29%, Bochum 35%.

How many goals are expected in Greuther Furth vs Bochum?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Greuther Furth 1.23 · Bochum 1.23), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Greuther Furth vs Bochum?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.