Football · Peru Liga 1 · 01/08, 22:30
Prediction: Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Atletico Grau0.98
Sport Boys0.92
1X2
Atletico Grau
Draw
Sport Boys
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Grau
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Sport Boys
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Grau
0–5–1
Sport Boys
(6 last)
- Sport Boys1-0Atletico Grau
- Sport Boys1-1Atletico Grau
- Atletico Grau3-3Sport Boys
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Boys (rating 1496 vs 1542).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Grau | Sport Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.1 | 2.6 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Grau 0–5–1 Sport Boys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 23/09/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Grau |
| 27/04/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Sport Boys |
| 14/09/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 05/04/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
| 21/08/23 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 24 | 37 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 25 | 33 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 24 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 19 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 19 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 19 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 30 | 18 |
| 17 | Juan Pablo II College | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 42 | 17 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 29 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Grau | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| UTC Cajamarca | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Universitario de Deportes | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Cusco FC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| AD Tarma | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Boys (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Grau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 09/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 27/06 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 22/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
Sport Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Comerciantes FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Grau win (34%). Probabilities: Atletico Grau 34%, draw 34%, Sport Boys 31%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Atletico Grau 0.98 · Sport Boys 0.92), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.