Prediction: UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma
Team pages: UTC Cajamarca · AD Tarma
- AD Tarma2-2UTC Cajamarca
- AD Tarma3-1UTC Cajamarca
- UTC Cajamarca0-1AD Tarma
- UTC Cajamarca1-1AD Tarma
- AD Tarma2-1UTC Cajamarca
- AD Tarma0-0UTC Cajamarca
| UTC Cajamarca | Draw | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 27% | 28% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours AD Tarma: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UTC Cajamarca | AD Tarma | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UTC Cajamarca 0–3–3 AD Tarma
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-2 HT 1-0 | UTC Cajamarca |
| 16/09/25 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 3-1 HT 1-0 | UTC Cajamarca |
| 20/04/25 Peru Liga 1 | UTC Cajamarca | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AD Tarma |
| 20/08/24 Peru Liga 1 | UTC Cajamarca | 1-1 HT 0-1 | AD Tarma |
| 16/03/24 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 2-1 HT 1-0 | UTC Cajamarca |
| 28/08/23 Peru Liga 1 | AD Tarma | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UTC Cajamarca |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | CD Los Chankas | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 40 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 34 |
| 5 | Cienciano | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 27 | 33 |
| 6 | Cusco FC | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 33 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 26 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 32 | 25 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 26 | 24 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 27 | 23 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 22 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
| 15 | Juan Pablo II College | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 20 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 22 | 19 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 18 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 14 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UTC Cajamarca | AD Tarma |
|---|---|---|
| Cusco FC | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Sport Boys | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AD Tarma (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UTC Cajamarca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | FC Cajamarca Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
AD Tarma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | Alianza Universidad Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Union Minas Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UTC Cajamarca win (45%). Probabilities: UTC Cajamarca 45%, draw 27%, AD Tarma 27%.
How many goals are expected in UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma?
The model expects 2.89 goals (UTC Cajamarca 1.65 · AD Tarma 1.25), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UTC Cajamarca vs AD Tarma?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.