Football · Peru Liga 1 · 05/09, 22:00
Prediction: Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys
Team pages: Sport Huancayo · Sport Boys
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.43Total
Sport Huancayo1.7
Sport Boys0.73
1X2
Sport Huancayo
Draw
Sport Boys
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Huancayo
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Sport Boys
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sport Huancayo
3–3
Sport Boys
(6 last)
- Sport Boys3-0Sport Huancayo
- Sport Boys2-1Sport Huancayo
- Sport Huancayo1-0Sport Boys
- Sport Boys2-1Sport Huancayo
- Sport Huancayo1-0Sport Boys
- Sport Huancayo1-0Sport Boys
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sport Huancayo 1477 · Sport Boys 1586
| Sport Huancayo | Draw | Sport Boys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Boys (rating 1477 vs 1586).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Huancayo | Sport Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Huancayo 3–0–3 Sport Boys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 05/10/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 18/05/25 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
| 14/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Sport Huancayo |
| 27/01/24 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
| 22/10/23 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Huancayo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 | Universitario de Deportes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 24 | 45 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 42 |
| 4 | CD Los Chankas | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 39 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 33 | 37 |
| 7 | Cusco FC | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 29 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 33 | 29 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 50 | 27 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Deportivo Moquegua | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36 | 44 | 24 |
| 16 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 42 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sport Huancayo | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moquegua | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Los Chankas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Grau | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Alianza Lima | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Universitario de Deportes | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cienciano | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Sport Boys (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Huancayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/08 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 20/07 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Sport Boys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | D |
| 09/08 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 19/07 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Huancayo win (60%). Probabilities: Sport Huancayo 60%, draw 25%, Sport Boys 15%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Sport Huancayo 1.7 · Sport Boys 0.73), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Huancayo vs Sport Boys?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.