Football · Peru Liga 1 · 17/10, 22:00

Prediction: Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys

Team pages: Juan Pablo II College · Sport Boys

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Juan Pablo II College1.49

Sport Boys1.23

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Juan Pablo II College Draw Sport Boys

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Juan Pablo II College 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDLWWDWWD

Sport Boys 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWWLWD

Head-to-head

Juan Pablo II College 1–1–1 Sport Boys (3 last)

Sport Boys1-1Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II College3-0Sport Boys
Sport Boys1-0Juan Pablo II College

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Pablo II College 1538 · Sport Boys 1508

	Juan Pablo II College	Draw	Sport Boys
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juan Pablo II College	Sport Boys
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.6	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.25

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.43 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:18 +1’	2.20	3.25	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:54 +5’	2.18	3.05	3.43

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo II College 1–1–1 Sport Boys

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	1-1 HT 0-0	Juan Pablo II College
20/07/25 Peru Liga 1	Juan Pablo II College	3-0 HT 2-0	Sport Boys
09/02/25 Peru Liga 1	Sport Boys	1-0 HT 0-0	Juan Pablo II College

Standings · Peru Liga 1 · Liga 1 2026, Overall

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	27	16	8	3	44	18	56
2	Universitario de Deportes	28	14	8	6	45	33	50
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	28	14	6	8	39	25	48
4	FBC Melgar	28	13	8	7	47	31	47
5	Cusco FC	27	14	3	10	40	38	45
6	Cienciano	28	13	5	10	48	40	44
7	CD Los Chankas	28	12	7	9	36	45	43
8	Alianza Atletico	27	11	7	9	40	35	40
9	Sporting Cristal	27	11	5	11	48	40	38
10	Sport Huancayo	28	11	5	12	38	44	38
11	Juan Pablo II College	28	9	8	11	43	53	35
12	Sport Boys	27	10	8	9	29	26	34
13	Atletico Grau	28	9	6	13	26	31	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	28	7	10	11	36	39	31
15	FC Cajamarca	28	7	7	14	41	52	26
16	AD Tarma	28	6	8	14	29	42	25
17	Deportivo Moquegua	28	6	7	15	24	43	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	27	4	8	15	32	50	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juan Pablo II College	Sport Boys
Deportivo Moquegua	4-0 W	1-1 D
Alianza Lima	1-1 D	1-1 D
CD Los Chankas	4-3 W	0-1 L
AD Tarma	5-1 W	2-0 W
Atletico Grau	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sporting Cristal	0-2 L	1-0 W
Cienciano	2-0 W	5-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Pablo II College

WLDLWWDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/09	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	2-0	4-0	6	7	W
11/09	UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1	1-0	2-1	5	11	W
06/09	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
29/08	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	3-2	4-3	2	5	W
22/08	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	2-0	5-1	2	0	W
15/08	Cusco FC Peru Liga 1	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
08/08	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
02/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
25/07	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-0	7	2	W

Sport Boys

LWWDDWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
13/09	Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
05/09	Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
30/08	Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	9	4	W
23/08	Cienciano Peru Liga 1	3-1	5-1	3	2	W
16/08	Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1	0-1	1-1	11	9	D
09/08	Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
01/08	Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
25/07	AD Tarma Peru Liga 1	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
19/07	CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1	0-0	0-1	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Juan Pablo II College win (42%). Probabilities: Juan Pablo II College 42%, draw 28%, Sport Boys 30%.

How many goals are expected in Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Juan Pablo II College 1.49 · Sport Boys 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Juan Pablo II College vs Sport Boys?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.