Football · Denmark Superligaen · 11/10, 18:00

Prediction: Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen

Team pages: Midtjylland · FC Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Midtjylland1.55

FC Copenhagen1.55

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Midtjylland Draw FC Copenhagen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Midtjylland 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDWDWD

FC Copenhagen 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Midtjylland 3–2–1 FC Copenhagen (6 last)

FC Copenhagen0-1Midtjylland
Midtjylland2-1FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-1Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen1-1Midtjylland
Midtjylland4-2FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen1-0Midtjylland

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Midtjylland 1620 · FC Copenhagen 1623

	Midtjylland	Draw	FC Copenhagen
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	37%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Midtjylland: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Midtjylland	FC Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.2	2.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.5	2.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.69 ★
2	2.50 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:59 +4’	2.45	3.50	2.50
10:48 +9’	2.50▲	3.50	2.50
06:53 +6’	2.55▲	3.50	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:01 +422’	2.62	3.72	2.51
10:29 +11’	2.57▼	3.72	2.55▲
21:53 +109’	2.59▲	3.72	2.53▼
14:04 +52’	2.60▲	3.67▼	2.54▲
16:02 +170’	2.61▲	3.63▼	2.55▲
21:50 +85’	2.62▲	3.59▼	2.56▲
13:23 +2’	2.57▼	3.70▲	2.56
16:00 +251’	2.65▲	3.70	2.49▼
21:58 +128’	2.65	3.69▼	2.49
06:43 +27’	2.60▼	3.69	2.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Midtjylland 3–2–1 FC Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Denmark Cup	FC Copenhagen	0-1 HT 0-0	Midtjylland
08/02/26 Denmark Superligaen	Midtjylland	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Copenhagen
05/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-1 HT 0-1	Midtjylland
11/05/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-1 HT 0-1	Midtjylland
17/04/25 Denmark Superligaen	Midtjylland	4-2 HT 2-0	FC Copenhagen
23/02/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	1-0 HT 0-0	Midtjylland

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	23	8	24
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17	9	19
3	FC Nordsjaelland	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
4	Viborg	9	5	2	2	15	8	17
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	12	15	13
6	AC Horsens	9	3	2	4	15	16	11
7	Silkeborg IF	9	2	4	3	12	12	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11	14	10
9	Odense BK	10	2	4	4	8	14	10
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	10	16	7
11	AGF Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11	17	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12	21	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Midtjylland	FC Copenhagen
Odense BK	1-1 D	5-0 W
Brondby	4-1 W	1-0 W
FC Nordsjaelland	2-2 D	2-0 W
Silkeborg IF	1-1 D	3-1 W
Randers FC	1-0 W	4-0 W
Lyngby	1-1 D	3-2 W
AC Horsens	2-1 W	2-0 W
Sonderjyske	3-2 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 0 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Midtjylland

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
14/09	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	4-1	6	4	W
07/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-2	4	1	D
02/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
30/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
23/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
16/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	7	5	W
26/07	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-2	3-2	4	3	W
17/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-3	5	5	L

FC Copenhagen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
11/09	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
06/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	2-0	5-0	2	4	W
03/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
31/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	7	3	W
23/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	3	L
16/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	4	1	W
02/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-1	3-1	4	4	W
26/07	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
21/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	9	11	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Midtjylland win (37%). Probabilities: Midtjylland 37%, draw 26%, FC Copenhagen 37%.

How many goals are expected in Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Midtjylland 1.55 · FC Copenhagen 1.55), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.