Football · Denmark Superligaen · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg IF

Team pages: Sonderjyske · Silkeborg IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Sonderjyske1.65

Silkeborg IF1.56

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Sonderjyske Draw Silkeborg IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sonderjyske 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLLLLDWL

Silkeborg IF 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDDDWD

Head-to-head

Sonderjyske 3–3 Silkeborg IF (6 last)

Sonderjyske2-1Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF0-2Sonderjyske
Silkeborg IF1-0Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske2-1Silkeborg IF
Sonderjyske1-3Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF1-0Sonderjyske

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sonderjyske 1443 · Silkeborg IF 1480

	Sonderjyske	Draw	Silkeborg IF
Our model	39%	25%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sonderjyske	Silkeborg IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.5	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.52
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.73 ★
2	2.55 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.4% Pinnacle margin 3.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:18 +12’	2.45	3.50	2.55
16:43 +3’	2.40▼	3.50	2.60▲
03:10 +13’	2.45▲	3.50	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:11 +25’	2.51	3.56	2.62
20:14 +39’	2.58▲	3.67▲	2.56▼
15:46 +59’	2.45▼	3.67	2.71▲
17:34 +11’	2.47▲	3.67	2.68▼
18:22 +14’	2.50▲	3.68▲	2.65▼
11:05 +20’	2.49▼	3.68	2.66▲
14:01 +135’	2.51▲	3.73▲	2.68▲
20:37 +46’	2.52▲	3.73	2.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonderjyske 3–0–3 Silkeborg IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/02/26 Denmark Superligaen	Sonderjyske	2-1 HT 0-1	Silkeborg IF
31/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	0-2 HT 0-0	Sonderjyske
11/05/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Sonderjyske
30/03/25 Denmark Superligaen	Sonderjyske	2-1 HT 2-1	Silkeborg IF
02/03/25 Denmark Superligaen	Sonderjyske	1-3 HT 1-1	Silkeborg IF
21/07/24 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	1-0 HT 0-0	Sonderjyske

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	10	8	0	2	24	10	24
2	Midtjylland	10	6	4	0	19	10	22
3	Viborg	10	6	2	2	17	8	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
5	Brondby	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
6	AC Horsens	11	3	4	4	18	19	13
7	Silkeborg IF	10	2	5	3	15	15	11
8	Randers FC	11	3	2	6	11	16	11
9	Odense BK	10	2	4	4	8	14	10
10	AGF Aarhus	10	1	5	4	14	17	8
11	Lyngby	10	1	4	5	12	21	7
12	Sonderjyske	10	1	2	7	12	24	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sonderjyske	Silkeborg IF
AGF Aarhus	0-3 L	2-2 D
Randers FC	4-2 W	1-1 D
Lyngby	1-1 D	4-0 W
AC Horsens	2-5 L	3-3 D
FC Copenhagen	1-3 L	1-3 L
FC Nordsjaelland	0-3 L	0-1 L
Brondby	2-3 L	1-3 L
Viborg	0-0 D	1-1 D
Odense BK	0-1 L	1-0 W
Midtjylland	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 7 L	2 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Silkeborg IF (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sonderjyske

LLDLLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-3	7	1	L
20/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	2-1	4-2	4	3	W
13/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
06/09	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-5	1	7	L
31/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-3	3	3	L
23/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
17/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-3	2-3	1	6	L
07/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
03/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
26/07	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	2-2	2-3	5	3	L

Silkeborg IF

DLWLLDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	0-2	3-3	6	4	D
18/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	4-0	1	6	W
13/09	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
05/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	3	1	D
30/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
24/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	1-3	4	6	L
16/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
10/08	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	1-2	1-3	7	4	L
27/07	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	7	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sonderjyske win (39%). Probabilities: Sonderjyske 39%, draw 26%, Silkeborg IF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg IF?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Sonderjyske 1.65 · Silkeborg IF 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sonderjyske vs Silkeborg IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.