Football · Denmark Superligaen · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland

Team pages: Lyngby · FC Nordsjaelland

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Lyngby1.17
FC Nordsjaelland1.72
1X2
25% 26% 49%
Lyngby Draw FC Nordsjaelland
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lyngby 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLDLDWDLL
FC Nordsjaelland 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLDWLD
Head-to-head
Lyngby 1–3–2 FC Nordsjaelland (6 last)
  • Lyngby1-0FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland1-1Lyngby
  • FC Nordsjaelland3-2Lyngby
  • Lyngby1-1FC Nordsjaelland
  • Lyngby1-1FC Nordsjaelland
  • FC Nordsjaelland2-1Lyngby
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyngby 1467 · FC Nordsjaelland 1556
LyngbyDrawFC Nordsjaelland
Our model25%26%49%
Market25%25%49%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (rating 1467 vs 1556).
  • H2H favours FC Nordsjaelland: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LyngbyFC Nordsjaelland
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.11.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 5.62.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyngby 1–3–2 FC Nordsjaelland

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DateHomeScoreAway
16/03/25
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby1-0
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
11/08/24
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland1-1
HT 1-1
Lyngby
18/02/24
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland3-2
HT 1-1
Lyngby
03/09/23
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby1-1
HT 1-0
FC Nordsjaelland
19/02/23
Denmark Superligaen
Lyngby1-1
HT 0-0
FC Nordsjaelland
01/08/22
Denmark Superligaen
FC Nordsjaelland2-1
HT 1-0
Lyngby

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Copenhagen 10802 241024
2 Midtjylland 10640 191022
3 Viborg 10622 17820
4 FC Nordsjaelland 10532 141018
5 Brondby 10514 171716
6 AC Horsens 11344 181913
7 Silkeborg IF 10253 151511
8 Randers FC 11326 111611
9 Odense BK 10244 81410
10 AGF Aarhus 10154 14178
11 Lyngby 10145 12217
12 Sonderjyske 10127 12245

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLyngbyFC Nordsjaelland
Brondby 2-5 L 3-1 W
Silkeborg IF 0-4 L 1-0 W
Sonderjyske 1-1 D 3-0 W
Viborg 2-0 W 1-4 L
Odense BK 1-1 D 0-0 D
AC Horsens 1-2 L 1-1 D
Midtjylland 1-1 D 2-2 D
Randers FC 0-2 L 1-0 W
AGF Aarhus 2-2 D 2-0 W
FC Copenhagen 2-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 4 D 5 L 5 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nordsjaelland (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyngby

LDLDLDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
0-3 2-5 45 L
18/09 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-4 76 L
13/09 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-1 62 D
04/09 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-0 52 W
30/08 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 48 D
23/08 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 1-2 97 L
16/08 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-1 35 D
09/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-2 91 L
01/08 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 2-2 45 D
26/07 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
2-1 2-3 54 L

FC Nordsjaelland

DWWWWLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-0 94 D
20/09 Viborg
Denmark Superligaen
1-3 1-4 52 L
13/09 AGF Aarhus
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 2-0 24 W
07/09 Midtjylland
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 2-2 31 D
03/09 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
0-2 0-2 05 L
30/08 Brondby
Denmark Superligaen
2-0 3-1 44 W
23/08 Sonderjyske
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 3-0 44 W
16/08 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 84 W
02/08 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-0 114 W
26/07 AC Horsens
Denmark Superligaen
1-1 1-1 132 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Nordsjaelland win (49%). Probabilities: Lyngby 25%, draw 26%, FC Nordsjaelland 49%.

How many goals are expected in Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Lyngby 1.17 · FC Nordsjaelland 1.72), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.