Football · Denmark Superligaen · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Odense BK vs Brondby

Team pages: Odense BK · Brondby

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Odense BK1.47

Brondby1.71

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Odense BK Draw Brondby

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Odense BK 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDLWDD

Brondby 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Odense BK 1–1–4 Brondby (6 last)

Brondby4-0Odense BK
Brondby1-1Odense BK
Odense BK1-4Brondby
Brondby5-1Odense BK
Odense BK0-3Brondby
Brondby1-2Odense BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Odense BK 1481 · Brondby 1537

	Odense BK	Draw	Brondby
Our model	32%	25%	43%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brondby (rating 1481 vs 1537).
H2H favours Brondby: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Odense BK	Brondby
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 03:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.79 ★
2	2.15 → 2.25▲	Pinn 2.27

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 3.9%

Time*	1	X	2
17:27 +15’	3.00	3.50	2.15
19:33 +32’	2.70▼	3.40▼	2.38▲
03:21 +4’	3.00▲	3.50▲	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +204’	3.14	3.69	2.17
15:53 +40’	3.04▼	3.67▼	2.23▲
20:06 +52’	3.03▼	3.73▲	2.21▼
08:59 +18’	3.03	3.72▼	2.22▲
19:14 +51’	2.90▼	3.69▼	2.30▲
05:59 +20’	2.83▼	3.68▼	2.35▲
16:54 +42’	2.90▲	3.73▲	2.29▼
16:03 +74’	2.93▲	3.78▲	2.31▲
19:54 +16’	2.99▲	3.79▲	2.27▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Odense BK 1–1–4 Brondby

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Club Friendly List	Brondby	4-0 HT 2-0	Odense BK
01/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Brondby	1-1 HT 0-0	Odense BK
27/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-4 HT 0-3	Brondby
28/09/25 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	5-1 HT 3-1	Odense BK
25/02/24 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	0-3 HT 0-2	Brondby
30/07/23 Denmark Superligaen	Brondby	1-2 HT 0-0	Odense BK

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	10	8	0	2	24	10	24
2	Midtjylland	10	6	4	0	19	10	22
3	Viborg	10	6	2	2	17	8	20
4	FC Nordsjaelland	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
5	Brondby	10	5	1	4	17	17	16
6	AC Horsens	11	3	4	4	18	19	13
7	Silkeborg IF	10	2	5	3	15	15	11
8	Randers FC	11	3	2	6	11	16	11
9	Odense BK	10	2	4	4	8	14	10
10	AGF Aarhus	10	1	5	4	14	17	8
11	Lyngby	10	1	4	5	12	21	7
12	Sonderjyske	10	1	2	7	12	24	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Odense BK	Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland	0-0 D	1-3 L
Midtjylland	1-1 D	1-4 L
Randers FC	2-1 W	0-3 L
FC Copenhagen	0-5 L	0-1 L
Lyngby	1-1 D	5-2 W
AGF Aarhus	2-2 D	1-1 D
AC Horsens	1-2 L	2-0 W
Silkeborg IF	0-1 L	3-1 W
Sonderjyske	1-0 W	3-2 W
Viborg	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brondby (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Odense BK

LWLLDDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
19/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
13/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-1	11	4	W
06/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
30/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-1	2-2	0	6	D
16/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
10/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
24/07	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	10	3	L

Brondby

DWWWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	3-0	5-2	8	5	W
20/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
14/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
30/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
24/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	3-1	9	6	W
17/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-0	3-2	10	6	W
09/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
02/08	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
25/07	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Odense BK vs Brondby?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Brondby win (42%). Probabilities: Odense BK 32%, draw 26%, Brondby 42%.

How many goals are expected in Odense BK vs Brondby?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Odense BK 1.47 · Brondby 1.71), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Odense BK vs Brondby?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.