Football · Denmark Superligaen · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: Randers FC vs Viborg

Team pages: Randers FC · Viborg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Randers FC1.42

Viborg1.76

1X2

30% 26% 44%

Randers FC Draw Viborg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Randers FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWWLL

Viborg 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Randers FC 4–2 Viborg (6 last)

Randers FC2-0Viborg
Viborg3-2Randers FC
Randers FC2-1Viborg
Viborg1-2Randers FC
Randers FC3-1Viborg
Randers FC1-3Viborg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Randers FC 1502 · Viborg 1505

	Randers FC	Draw	Viborg
Our model	30%	25%	45%
Market	29%	27%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Randers FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Randers FC	Viborg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	2.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.50

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 00:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.21
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.67 ★
2	2.05 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.22

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 3.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:49 +1’	3.20	3.50	2.05
06:24 +11’	3.30▲	3.60▲	2.05
12:18 +30’	3.25▼	3.50▼	2.10▲
00:19 +11’	3.20▼	3.50	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +651’	3.31	3.63	2.11
14:01 +123’	3.34▲	3.68▲	2.13▲
23:57 +33’	3.20▼	3.65▼	2.21▲
02:03 +56’	3.21▲	3.67▲	2.22▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Randers FC 4–0–2 Viborg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Randers FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Viborg
02/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	Viborg	3-2 HT 2-2	Randers FC
05/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Viborg
01/12/24 Denmark Superligaen	Viborg	1-2 HT 0-1	Randers FC
28/07/24 Denmark Superligaen	Randers FC	3-1 HT 2-1	Viborg
03/07/24 Club Friendly List	Randers FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Viborg

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	23	8	24
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17	9	19
3	FC Nordsjaelland	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
4	Viborg	9	5	2	2	15	8	17
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	12	15	13
6	AC Horsens	9	3	2	4	15	16	11
7	Silkeborg IF	9	2	4	3	12	12	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11	14	10
9	Odense BK	10	2	4	4	8	14	10
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	10	16	7
11	AGF Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11	17	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12	21	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Randers FC	Viborg
Sonderjyske	2-4 L	0-0 D
Odense BK	1-2 L	1-0 W
Brondby	3-0 W	0-1 L
AGF Aarhus	2-1 W	2-1 W
FC Copenhagen	0-4 L	4-0 W
Lyngby	2-0 W	0-2 L
FC Nordsjaelland	0-1 L	4-1 W
Silkeborg IF	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Viborg (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Randers FC

LDLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
13/09	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
06/09	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
30/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
16/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-4	6	1	L
09/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
02/08	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
27/07	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
17/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-3	0-5	5	1	L

Viborg

LWLDWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen	3-1	4-1	4	2	W
13/09	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
04/09	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
28/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
23/08	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-0	1	3	W
14/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
07/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
02/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
24/07	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/05	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	1-3	2-6	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Randers FC vs Viborg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Viborg win (44%). Probabilities: Randers FC 30%, draw 26%, Viborg 44%.

How many goals are expected in Randers FC vs Viborg?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Randers FC 1.42 · Viborg 1.76), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Randers FC vs Viborg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.