Football · Denmark Superligaen · 09/10, 19:00

Prediction: FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense BK

Team pages: FC Nordsjaelland · Odense BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

FC Nordsjaelland2.2

Odense BK1.05

1X2

63% 21% 16%

FC Nordsjaelland Draw Odense BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Nordsjaelland 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLDWL

Odense BK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDDLWD

Head-to-head

FC Nordsjaelland 2–1–3 Odense BK (6 last)

FC Nordsjaelland2-4Odense BK
Odense BK1-2FC Nordsjaelland
Odense BK1-1FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland0-1Odense BK
FC Nordsjaelland4-2Odense BK
FC Nordsjaelland1-2Odense BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Nordsjaelland 1568 · Odense BK 1494

	FC Nordsjaelland	Draw	Odense BK
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	63%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Nordsjaelland (rating 1568 vs 1494).
H2H favours Odense BK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Nordsjaelland	Odense BK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.33

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Pinn 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.71 ★
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
01:24 +18’	1.48	4.33	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +402’	1.53	4.71	5.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Nordsjaelland 2–1–3 Odense BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/11/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	2-4 HT 1-0	Odense BK
31/08/25 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Nordsjaelland
03/12/23 Denmark Superligaen	Odense BK	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Nordsjaelland
08/10/23 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	0-1 HT 0-1	Odense BK
24/02/23 Denmark Superligaen	FC Nordsjaelland	4-2 HT 1-1	Odense BK
23/11/22 Europe Friendlies	FC Nordsjaelland	1-2 HT 0-2	Odense BK

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	9	8	0	1	23	8	24
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17	9	19
3	Viborg	9	5	2	2	15	8	17
4	FC Nordsjaelland	9	5	2	2	14	10	17
5	Brondby	9	4	1	4	12	15	13
6	AC Horsens	9	3	2	4	15	16	11
7	Silkeborg IF	9	2	4	3	12	12	10
8	Randers FC	9	3	1	5	11	14	10
9	Odense BK	9	2	3	4	8	14	9
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	10	16	7
11	AGF Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11	17	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12	21	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Nordsjaelland	Odense BK
Viborg	1-4 L	0-1 L
AGF Aarhus	2-0 W	2-2 D
Midtjylland	2-2 D	1-1 D
FC Copenhagen	0-2 L	0-5 L
Sonderjyske	3-0 W	1-0 W
Silkeborg IF	1-0 W	0-1 L
Randers FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
AC Horsens	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Nordsjaelland (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Nordsjaelland

WDWWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	1-3	1-4	5	2	L
13/09	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
07/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-2	3	1	D
03/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-2	0	5	L
30/08	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
23/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
16/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
02/08	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	11	4	W
26/07	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-1	13	2	D
17/05	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	3-0	4-1	4	3	W

Odense BK

LLWLLDDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
13/09	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-1	11	4	W
06/09	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
30/08	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
23/08	AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen	2-1	2-2	0	6	D
16/08	AC Horsens Denmark Superligaen	1-1	1-2	9	1	L
10/08	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
24/07	Viborg Denmark Superligaen	0-0	0-1	10	3	L
17/05	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-1	0-1	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Nordsjaelland win (63%). Probabilities: FC Nordsjaelland 63%, draw 21%, Odense BK 16%.

How many goals are expected in FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense BK?

The model expects 3.24 goals (FC Nordsjaelland 2.2 · Odense BK 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Nordsjaelland vs Odense BK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.