Football · Croatia HNL · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: HNK Rijeka vs Hajduk Split

Team pages: HNK Rijeka · Hajduk Split

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

HNK Rijeka1.42

Hajduk Split1.2

1X2

41% 29% 31%

HNK Rijeka Draw Hajduk Split

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

HNK Rijeka 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLWDWD

Hajduk Split 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLDWWWWW

Head-to-head

HNK Rijeka 2–2–2 Hajduk Split (6 last)

HNK Rijeka0-0Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka3-2Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split1-0HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka5-0Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split2-2HNK Rijeka
Hajduk Split2-1HNK Rijeka

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HNK Rijeka	Hajduk Split
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.7	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 7	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.92

Under 2.51.87

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.08 → 2.08	Pinn 2.08
X	3.28 → 3.28	Pinn 3.28
2	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:07 +19’	2.08	3.28	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · HNK Rijeka 2–2–2 Hajduk Split

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Croatia HNL	HNK Rijeka	0-0 HT 0-0	Hajduk Split
04/03/26 Croatia Cup	HNK Rijeka	3-2 HT 0-1	Hajduk Split
22/02/26 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	1-0 HT 0-0	HNK Rijeka
22/11/25 Croatia HNL	HNK Rijeka	5-0 HT 3-0	Hajduk Split
31/08/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	2-2 HT 1-1	HNK Rijeka
18/05/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	2-1 HT 1-0	HNK Rijeka

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	7	5	1	1	16	5	16
2	NK Osijek	7	5	0	2	17	11	15
3	Dinamo Zagreb	6	4	1	1	14	7	13
4	NK Varazdin	6	4	1	1	11	5	13
5	HNK Rijeka	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
6	Istra 1961	7	2	3	2	14	12	9
7	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	7	2	1	4	9	13	7
8	Slaven Belupo	7	2	0	5	5	14	6
9	NK Rudes	7	1	0	6	8	22	3
10	HNK Gorica	6	0	1	5	2	10	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HNK Rijeka	Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1-1 D	2-0 W
NK Osijek	4-1 W	4-0 W
HNK Gorica	0-0 D	2-1 W
Istra 1961	3-2 W	2-2 D
NK Varazdin	0-2 L	1-2 L
NK Rudes	2-1 W	4-0 W
Vukovar 91	3-0 W	6-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hajduk Split (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HNK Rijeka

WWDWWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	1-1	11	5	D
05/09	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	3-1	4-1	8	2	W
31/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
23/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	2-0	3-2	6	1	W
16/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-2	0-2	9	3	L
02/08	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
23/05	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	0-0	2-0	7	3	W
17/05	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
08/05	Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL	1-0	3-0	9	3	W
03/05	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	3-0	1	3	W

Hajduk Split

LDWLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	7	0	W
31/08	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
23/08	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	1-0	4-0	0	5	W
16/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
02/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
22/05	Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL	3-2	6-3	8	2	W
16/05	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-1	1-1	4	1	D
09/05	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HNK Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HNK Rijeka win (41%). Probabilities: HNK Rijeka 41%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 31%.

How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

The model expects 2.63 goals (HNK Rijeka 1.42 · Hajduk Split 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in HNK Rijeka vs Hajduk Split?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.