Football · Croatia HNL · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka
Team pages: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · HNK Rijeka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0.94
HNK Rijeka1.22
1X2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Draw
HNK Rijeka
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
HNK Rijeka
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
0–2–4
HNK Rijeka
(6 last)
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-3HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka2-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-1HNK Rijeka
- HNK Rijeka4-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HNK Rijeka (rating 1472 vs 1568).
- H2H favours HNK Rijeka: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.8 | 3.3 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–2–4 HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Croatia HNL | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0-3 HT 0-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| 01/03/26 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| 30/11/25 Croatia HNL | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-1 HT 0-1 | HNK Rijeka |
| 13/09/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| 06/04/25 Croatia HNL | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HNK Rijeka |
| 26/01/25 Croatia HNL | HNK Rijeka | 4-1 HT 2-0 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
Standings · Croatia HNL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hajduk Split | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 12 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 8 | Slaven Belupo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 6 |
| 9 | NK Rudes | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|
| Hajduk Split | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| NK Rudes | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| NK Osijek | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| HNK Gorica | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Istra 1961 | 3-2 W | 3-2 W |
| NK Varazdin | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: HNK Rijeka (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
HNK Rijeka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | NK Osijek Croatia HNL |
3-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
2-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | NK Varazdin Croatia HNL |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | NK Rudes Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | HNK Gorica Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Istra 1961 Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hajduk Split Croatia HNL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an HNK Rijeka win (41%). Probabilities: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 27%, draw 32%, HNK Rijeka 41%.
How many goals are expected in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The model expects 2.16 goals (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.94 · HNK Rijeka 1.22), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Rijeka?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.