Football · Croatia HNL · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Team pages: Dinamo Zagreb · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Dinamo Zagreb2.56
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0.67
1X2
78% 15% 7%
Dinamo Zagreb Draw NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Zagreb 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWDWL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDDWWLLLLD
Head-to-head
Dinamo Zagreb 3–2–1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb (6 last)
  • Dinamo Zagreb0-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-5Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb2-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1Dinamo Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb1-1NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
  • Dinamo Zagreb3-0NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dinamo Zagreb 1587 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1490
Dinamo ZagrebDrawNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Our model78%16%7%
Market78%14%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1587 vs 1490).
  • H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Dinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.91.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.70.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 6.31.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.14.2 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Zagreb 321 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/05/26
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb0-0
HT 0-0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
21/03/26
Croatia HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-5
HT 0-3
Dinamo Zagreb
20/12/25
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb2-0
HT 1-0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
05/10/25
Croatia HNL
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1
HT 1-0
Dinamo Zagreb
17/05/25
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb1-1
HT 1-0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
15/03/25
Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb3-0
HT 2-0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hajduk Split 7511 16516
2 NK Osijek 8512 171116
3 NK Varazdin 8431 13715
4 Dinamo Zagreb 6411 14713
5 HNK Rijeka 6321 10711
6 Istra 1961 8233 14139
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7214 9137
8 Slaven Belupo 8215 7167
9 HNK Gorica 8125 5125
10 NK Rudes 8116 10244

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDinamo ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Osijek 2-4 L 0-1 L
HNK Gorica 1-0 W 3-1 W
Istra 1961 2-2 D 3-2 W
NK Varazdin 3-1 W 1-1 D
NK Rudes 4-0 W 1-4 L
Slaven Belupo 2-0 W 1-2 L
Hajduk Split 2-0 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Zagreb (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dinamo Zagreb

WWWDWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-2 2-4 67 L
05/09 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
1-0 1-0 64 W
29/08 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
1-2 2-2 84 D
22/08 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-1 3-1 54 W
14/08 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
2-0 4-0 124 W
31/07 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
1-0 2-0 102 W
23/05 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 40 D
17/05 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-1 4-1 11 W
09/05 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
1-0 2-0 34 W
02/05 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
1-1 2-1 82 W

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

DDDWWLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 HNK Rijeka
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-1 25 D
06/09 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-2 57 L
31/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-2 15 L
21/08 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
1-1 1-4 54 L
15/08 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-1 46 L
08/08 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
2-0 3-1 98 W
01/08 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
2-1 3-2 44 W
23/05 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 20 D
16/05 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
1-1 1-1 81 D
09/05 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-1 1-1 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Zagreb win (78%). Probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb 78%, draw 15%, NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 7%.

How many goals are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Dinamo Zagreb 2.56 · NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.67), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.