Football · Croatia HNL · 18/10, 15:00

Prediction: Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin

Team pages: Hajduk Split · NK Varazdin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Hajduk Split1.56

NK Varazdin1.05

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Hajduk Split Draw NK Varazdin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hajduk Split 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWWLW

NK Varazdin 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDDW

Head-to-head

Hajduk Split 1–3–2 NK Varazdin (6 last)

NK Varazdin2-1Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split3-1NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin1-1Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split1-1NK Varazdin
NK Varazdin2-0Hajduk Split
NK Varazdin1-1Hajduk Split

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Varazdin: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hajduk Split	NK Varazdin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	1.6 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.7	3.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.79

Under 2.51.99

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68
X	3.28 → 3.28	Pinn 3.28
2	5.83 → 5.83	Pinn 5.83

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +203’	1.68	3.28	5.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hajduk Split 1–3–2 NK Varazdin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Croatia HNL	NK Varazdin	2-1 HT 0-0	Hajduk Split
03/05/26 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	3-1 HT 2-1	NK Varazdin
28/02/26 Croatia HNL	NK Varazdin	1-1 HT 1-1	Hajduk Split
29/11/25 Croatia HNL	Hajduk Split	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Varazdin
13/09/25 Croatia HNL	NK Varazdin	2-0 HT 2-0	Hajduk Split
18/04/25 Croatia HNL	NK Varazdin	1-1 HT 1-0	Hajduk Split

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18	9	19
2	NK Varazdin	9	5	3	1	14	7	18
3	Dinamo Zagreb	8	5	1	2	18	11	16
4	NK Osijek	9	5	1	3	18	14	16
5	HNK Rijeka	8	4	2	2	14	11	14
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17	14	12
7	Slaven Belupo	9	3	1	5	11	17	10
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	9	2	1	6	11	17	7
9	NK Rudes	9	2	1	6	12	25	7
10	HNK Gorica	9	1	2	6	6	14	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hajduk Split	NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb	2-1 W	1-3 L
HNK Rijeka	0-3 L	2-0 W
Slaven Belupo	1-0 W	4-1 W
NK Rudes	4-0 W	2-0 W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-0 W	1-0 W
NK Osijek	4-0 W	0-0 D
HNK Gorica	2-1 W	2-2 D
Istra 1961	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hajduk Split (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hajduk Split

WLDWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
20/09	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	0-2	0-3	4	6	L
13/09	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
06/09	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	7	0	W
31/08	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
23/08	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	1-0	4-0	0	5	W
16/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
02/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
22/05	Vukovar 91 Croatia HNL	3-2	6-3	8	2	W

NK Varazdin

WWWWLWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
19/09	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
14/09	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	0-0	2-2	3	3	D
04/09	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
29/08	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
22/08	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	1-0	1-3	2	4	L
16/08	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
09/08	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	3-0	4-1	5	2	W
02/08	Hajduk Split Croatia HNL	0-0	2-1	1	4	W
23/05	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	2-0	2-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hajduk Split win (48%). Probabilities: Hajduk Split 48%, draw 28%, NK Varazdin 24%.

How many goals are expected in Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Hajduk Split 1.56 · NK Varazdin 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.