Football · Croatia HNL · 18/10, 18:00

Prediction: Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb

Team pages: Slaven Belupo · Dinamo Zagreb

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

Slaven Belupo1.58

Dinamo Zagreb2.11

1X2

28% 23% 49%

Slaven Belupo Draw Dinamo Zagreb

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Slaven Belupo 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLDW

Dinamo Zagreb 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Slaven Belupo 0–6 Dinamo Zagreb (6 last)

Dinamo Zagreb2-0Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo1-4Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb4-2Slaven Belupo
Slaven Belupo2-5Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb4-1Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb5-0Slaven Belupo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Zagreb (rating 1462 vs 1597).
H2H favours Dinamo Zagreb: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slaven Belupo	Dinamo Zagreb
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	2.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.99

Under 3.51.81

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	6.39 → 6.39	Pinn 6.39
X	5.22 → 5.22	Pinn 5.22
2	1.37 → 1.37	Pinn 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +315’	6.39	5.22	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slaven Belupo 0–0–6 Dinamo Zagreb

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	2-0 HT 1-0	Slaven Belupo
17/05/26 Croatia HNL	Slaven Belupo	1-4 HT 1-0	Dinamo Zagreb
14/03/26 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	4-2 HT 0-1	Slaven Belupo
14/12/25 Croatia HNL	Slaven Belupo	2-5 HT 1-4	Dinamo Zagreb
28/09/25 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	4-1 HT 2-0	Slaven Belupo
10/05/25 Croatia HNL	Dinamo Zagreb	5-0 HT 3-0	Slaven Belupo

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hajduk Split	9	6	1	2	18	9	19
2	NK Varazdin	9	5	3	1	14	7	18
3	Dinamo Zagreb	8	5	1	2	18	11	16
4	NK Osijek	9	5	1	3	18	14	16
5	HNK Rijeka	8	4	2	2	14	11	14
6	Istra 1961	9	3	3	3	17	14	12
7	Slaven Belupo	9	3	1	5	11	17	10
8	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	9	2	1	6	11	17	7
9	NK Rudes	9	2	1	6	12	25	7
10	HNK Gorica	9	1	2	6	6	14	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slaven Belupo	Dinamo Zagreb
NK Rudes	2-2 D	4-0 W
Hajduk Split	0-1 L	1-2 L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	2-1 W	3-2 W
NK Osijek	0-3 L	2-4 L
HNK Gorica	2-0 W	1-0 W
Istra 1961	0-3 L	2-2 D
NK Varazdin	1-4 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dinamo Zagreb (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slaven Belupo

LLLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	HNK Rijeka Croatia HNL	1-1	4-1	3	1	W
18/09	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	0-0	2-2	7	7	D
13/09	Hajduk Split Croatia HNL	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
06/09	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
30/08	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
22/08	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	2-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	0-2	0-3	3	5	L
09/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-3	1-4	5	2	L
31/07	Dinamo Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
22/05	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	0-0	0-2	2	0	L

Dinamo Zagreb

WDWWWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Hajduk Split Croatia HNL	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
20/09	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	2-1	3-2	7	6	W
12/09	NK Osijek Croatia HNL	0-2	2-4	6	7	L
05/09	HNK Gorica Croatia HNL	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
29/08	Istra 1961 Croatia HNL	1-2	2-2	8	4	D
22/08	NK Varazdin Croatia HNL	0-1	3-1	5	4	W
14/08	NK Rudes Croatia HNL	2-0	4-0	12	4	W
31/07	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
23/05	NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Croatia HNL	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
17/05	Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL	0-1	4-1	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Zagreb win (49%). Probabilities: Slaven Belupo 28%, draw 23%, Dinamo Zagreb 49%.

How many goals are expected in Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Slaven Belupo 1.58 · Dinamo Zagreb 2.11), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.