Football · Croatia HNL · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica

Team pages: NK Osijek · HNK Gorica

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
NK Osijek1.69
HNK Gorica0.92
1X2
54% 26% 19%
NK Osijek Draw HNK Gorica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
NK Osijek 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWLWDL
HNK Gorica 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLLDLDWL
Head-to-head
NK Osijek 2–2–2 HNK Gorica (6 last)
  • HNK Gorica0-2NK Osijek
  • HNK Gorica2-0NK Osijek
  • NK Osijek0-0HNK Gorica
  • NK Osijek1-1HNK Gorica
  • HNK Gorica0-1NK Osijek
  • NK Osijek0-1HNK Gorica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Osijek (rating 1512 vs 1452).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NK OsijekHNK Gorica
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 1.40.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.50 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 60.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Osijek 2–2–2 HNK Gorica

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica0-2
HT 0-2
NK Osijek
16/05/26
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica2-0
HT 2-0
NK Osijek
14/03/26
Croatia HNL
NK Osijek0-0
HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
13/12/25
Croatia HNL
NK Osijek1-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica
28/09/25
Croatia HNL
HNK Gorica0-1
HT 0-1
NK Osijek
19/04/25
Croatia HNL
NK Osijek0-1
HT 0-1
HNK Gorica

Standings · Croatia HNL

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hajduk Split 9612 18919
2 Dinamo Zagreb 8512 181116
3 NK Osijek 9513 181416
4 NK Varazdin 8431 13715
5 HNK Rijeka 7421 13714
6 Istra 1961 9333 171412
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 8215 11167
8 Slaven Belupo 8215 7167
9 NK Rudes 9216 12257
10 HNK Gorica 9126 6145

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNK OsijekHNK Gorica
Istra 1961 1-3 L 1-0 W
NK Varazdin 0-0 D 2-2 D
Dinamo Zagreb 4-2 W 0-1 L
HNK Rijeka 1-4 L 0-0 D
Slaven Belupo 3-0 W 0-2 L
Hajduk Split 0-4 L 1-2 L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 W 1-3 L
NK Rudes 6-1 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: NK Osijek (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Osijek

WWWWLWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
1-1 1-3 105 L
19/09 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 24 D
12/09 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
2-0 4-2 27 W
05/09 HNK Rijeka
Croatia HNL
1-3 1-4 32 L
30/08 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
2-0 3-0 41 W
23/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-4 25 L
15/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-0 96 W
08/08 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
4-0 6-1 42 W
01/08 HNK Gorica
Croatia HNL
2-0 2-0 83 W
22/05 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-0 2-0 160 W

HNK Gorica

LLLLLDLDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 NK Rudes
Croatia HNL
0-1 1-2 82 L
19/09 Istra 1961
Croatia HNL
0-0 1-0 35 W
14/09 NK Varazdin
Croatia HNL
0-0 2-2 13 D
05/09 Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-1 0-1 24 L
31/08 HNK Rijeka
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-0 23 D
22/08 Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-2 43 L
16/08 Hajduk Split
Croatia HNL
0-1 1-2 34 L
08/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatia HNL
0-2 1-3 38 L
01/08 NK Osijek
Croatia HNL
0-2 0-2 33 L
23/05 HNK Rijeka
Croatia HNL
0-0 0-2 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Osijek win (54%). Probabilities: NK Osijek 54%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 19%.

How many goals are expected in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

The model expects 2.6 goals (NK Osijek 1.69 · HNK Gorica 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.