Prediction: FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | Draw | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 21% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kauno Zalgiris (rating 1532 vs 1453).
- H2H favours FK Kauno Zalgiris: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | Panevezys | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.5 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kauno Zalgiris 4–1–1 Panevezys
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 10/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Panevezys |
| 16/02/26 Lithuania Super Cup | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Panevezys |
| 02/11/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Panevezys |
| 24/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Panevezys | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 24/06/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Panevezys |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 30 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 29 | 19 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 13 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kauno Zalgiris | Panevezys |
|---|---|---|
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| FK Transinvest | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Siauliai | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kauno Zalgiris (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | KF Drita UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/06 | BFA Vilnius Lithuania Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
Panevezys
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 23/06 | FK Minija Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Atmosfera Lithuania Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kauno Zalgiris win (70%). Probabilities: FK Kauno Zalgiris 70%, draw 20%, Panevezys 11%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?
The model expects 2.77 goals (FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.09 · Panevezys 0.69), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Panevezys?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.